Internal divisions within Israel's right-wing bloc are the main factor shaping trader assessments of Otzma Yehudit's Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election. Recent polls place the party at 6-9 mandates on average, reflecting competition for right-wing voters amid Likud and Religious Zionism-Zehut efforts to coordinate turnout drives and surplus-vote agreements that exclude Otzma Yehudit. Ben-Gvir's slate has faced attempts at marginalization, including uninvited status at key Religious Zionist events and accusations of Likud seeking a post-election unity government with Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar. These tensions, alongside fluctuating bloc totals and undecided turnout on the right, sustain tight probabilities across the 6-7, 8-9, and 10+ ranges. Final mobilization outcomes or late shifts in right-wing alliances could widen the gap before election day.