Josh Turek secured the Democratic nomination for Iowa’s open U.S. Senate seat on June 2, 2026, with roughly 62.6 percent of the vote to Zach Wahls’ 37.4 percent in a two-candidate primary. Traders price the 20–30 point margin at near-certainty levels because final unofficial tallies across nearly all precincts aligned with that range, following endorsements from party figures and outside spending that emphasized Turek’s broader electability in the Republican-leaning state. Wahls, the more progressive challenger and former Senate minority leader, failed to close the gap in late polling or turnout. The outcome remains subject only to official certification, a potential recount, or narrow legal challenges that have not yet materialized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Turek 20–30% 100.0%
Turek 少於10% <1%
Turek 30％以上 <1%
Turek 10–20% <1%
$6,555 交易量
$6,555 交易量
2026-06-02
Turek 少於10%
否
Turek 30％以上
否
Turek 10–20%
否
Turek 20–30%
是
瓦爾斯獲勝
否
Turek 20–30% 100.0%
Turek 少於10% <1%
Turek 30％以上 <1%
Turek 10–20% <1%
$6,555 交易量
$6,555 交易量
2026-06-02
Turek 少於10%
$501 交易量
否
Turek 30％以上
$470 交易量
否
Turek 10–20%
$547 交易量
否
Turek 20–30%
$4,563 交易量
是
瓦爾斯獲勝
$474 交易量
否
Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Josh Turek secured the Democratic nomination for Iowa’s open U.S. Senate seat on June 2, 2026, with roughly 62.6 percent of the vote to Zach Wahls’ 37.4 percent in a two-candidate primary. Traders price the 20–30 point margin at near-certainty levels because final unofficial tallies across nearly all precincts aligned with that range, following endorsements from party figures and outside spending that emphasized Turek’s broader electability in the Republican-leaning state. Wahls, the more progressive challenger and former Senate minority leader, failed to close the gap in late polling or turnout. The outcome remains subject only to official certification, a potential recount, or narrow legal challenges that have not yet materialized.
Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市場開放時間： Jun 2, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
交易量
$6,555結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Josh Turek secured the Democratic nomination for Iowa’s open U.S. Senate seat on June 2, 2026, with roughly 62.6 percent of the vote to Zach Wahls’ 37.4 percent in a two-candidate primary. Traders price the 20–30 point margin at near-certainty levels because final unofficial tallies across nearly all precincts aligned with that range, following endorsements from party figures and outside spending that emphasized Turek’s broader electability in the Republican-leaning state. Wahls, the more progressive challenger and former Senate minority leader, failed to close the gap in late polling or turnout. The outcome remains subject only to official certification, a potential recount, or narrow legal challenges that have not yet materialized.
Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$6,555結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Josh Turek secured the Democratic nomination for Iowa’s open U.S. Senate seat on June 2, 2026, with roughly 62.6 percent of the vote to Zach Wahls’ 37.4 percent in a two-candidate primary. Traders price the 20–30 point margin at near-certainty levels because final unofficial tallies across nearly all precincts aligned with that range, following endorsements from party figures and outside spending that emphasized Turek’s broader electability in the Republican-leaning state. Wahls, the more progressive challenger and former Senate minority leader, failed to close the gap in late polling or turnout. The outcome remains subject only to official certification, a potential recount, or narrow legal challenges that have not yet materialized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions