Anthropic’s strong market-implied odds for an October 2026 IPO stem from its confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1 and active preparations led by underwriters including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley. Recent Reuters reporting from early September confirms the timeline has shifted modestly, with prospectus release now eyed for late September and marketing beginning mid-October at the earliest, potentially wrapping days before U.S. midterms, after finalizing a $15 billion credit facility. Traders are pricing in this compressed fall window amid rapid revenue growth—annualized run rate exceeding $47 billion earlier this year with projections toward $190–200 billion by 2028—while noting typical IPO slippage risks from regulatory reviews or market conditions. November remains the main alternative if delays extend further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026 年 10 月 63%
2026年11月 18.1%
2027 年 2 月 5.3%
2027 年 3 月 5.0%
$179,735 交易量
$179,735 交易量
2027-12-31
2026 年 9 月
<1%
2026 年 10 月
63%
2026年11月
18%
2026 年 12 月
4%
2027 年 1 月
2%
2027 年 2 月
5%
2027 年 3 月
5%
2027年4月
4%
2027 年 5 月
1%
2027年6月
1%
2027年7月
2%
2027年8月
1%
2027 年 9 月
1%
2027年10月
1%
2027 年 11 月
1%
2027年12月
1%
2028年前不上市
1%
2026 年 10 月 63%
2026年11月 18.1%
2027 年 2 月 5.3%
2027 年 3 月 5.0%
$179,735 交易量
$179,735 交易量
2027-12-31
2026 年 9 月
$31,730 交易量
<1%
2026 年 10 月
$43,752 交易量
63%
2026年11月
$12,523 交易量
18%
2026 年 12 月
$7,970 交易量
4%
2027 年 1 月
$6,575 交易量
2%
2027 年 2 月
$6,072 交易量
5%
2027 年 3 月
$6,457 交易量
5%
2027年4月
$6,109 交易量
4%
2027 年 5 月
$5,920 交易量
1%
2027年6月
$6,417 交易量
1%
2027年7月
$5,875 交易量
2%
2027年8月
$5,888 交易量
1%
2027 年 9 月
$5,884 交易量
1%
2027年10月
$5,630 交易量
1%
2027 年 11 月
$5,813 交易量
1%
2027年12月
$5,890 交易量
1%
2028年前不上市
$11,233 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Anthropic’s strong market-implied odds for an October 2026 IPO stem from its confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1 and active preparations led by underwriters including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley. Recent Reuters reporting from early September confirms the timeline has shifted modestly, with prospectus release now eyed for late September and marketing beginning mid-October at the earliest, potentially wrapping days before U.S. midterms, after finalizing a $15 billion credit facility. Traders are pricing in this compressed fall window amid rapid revenue growth—annualized run rate exceeding $47 billion earlier this year with projections toward $190–200 billion by 2028—while noting typical IPO slippage risks from regulatory reviews or market conditions. November remains the main alternative if delays extend further.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
交易量
$179,735結束日期
2028-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Anthropic’s strong market-implied odds for an October 2026 IPO stem from its confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1 and active preparations led by underwriters including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley. Recent Reuters reporting from early September confirms the timeline has shifted modestly, with prospectus release now eyed for late September and marketing beginning mid-October at the earliest, potentially wrapping days before U.S. midterms, after finalizing a $15 billion credit facility. Traders are pricing in this compressed fall window amid rapid revenue growth—annualized run rate exceeding $47 billion earlier this year with projections toward $190–200 billion by 2028—while noting typical IPO slippage risks from regulatory reviews or market conditions. November remains the main alternative if delays extend further.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
交易量
$179,735結束日期
2028-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ETAnthropic’s strong market-implied odds for an October 2026 IPO stem from its confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1 and active preparations led by underwriters including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley. Recent Reuters reporting from early September confirms the timeline has shifted modestly, with prospectus release now eyed for late September and marketing beginning mid-October at the earliest, potentially wrapping days before U.S. midterms, after finalizing a $15 billion credit facility. Traders are pricing in this compressed fall window amid rapid revenue growth—annualized run rate exceeding $47 billion earlier this year with projections toward $190–200 billion by 2028—while noting typical IPO slippage risks from regulatory reviews or market conditions. November remains the main alternative if delays extend further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions