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政治·特朗普

有多少參議員會投票支持Todd Blanche擔任司法部長？

icon for 有多少參議員會投票支持Todd Blanche擔任司法部長？
政治·特朗普

有多少參議員會投票支持Todd Blanche擔任司法部長？

50 88.0%

49 4.2%

51 4.1%

54 3.0%

Polymarket

$17,293 交易量

50 88.0%

49 4.2%

51 4.1%

54 3.0%

Polymarket

$17,293 交易量

≤46

$681 交易量

<1%

47

$501 交易量

<1%

48

$446 交易量

1%

49

$784 交易量

4%

50

$2,006 交易量

82%

51

$1,988 交易量

4%

52

$2,618 交易量

<1%

53

$651 交易量

1%

54

$537 交易量

3%

55

$584 交易量

<1%

56

$560 交易量

<1%

57

$543 交易量

<1%

58+

$511 交易量

1%

12月31日前未投票／撤回

$4,881 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Republican opposition, including Lisa Murkowski’s announced no vote on August 7, 2026, combined with prior holds from senators such as John Cornyn and Thom Tillis over DOJ spending and litigation issues, has narrowed expectations for broad support. The Senate Judiciary Committee advanced the nomination 12-10 along party lines on August 4 after Blanche reached agreements addressing those concerns, with Bill Cassidy indicating support. Democrats are expected to oppose uniformly. Traders price the floor vote—anticipated in the coming days—at roughly 50 yes votes, reflecting the impact of at least one Republican defection and limited prospects for crossover support in a closely divided chamber.

This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.

Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$17,293
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Republican opposition, including Lisa Murkowski’s announced no vote on August 7, 2026, combined with prior holds from senators such as John Cornyn and Thom Tillis over DOJ spending and litigation issues, has narrowed expectations for broad support. The Senate Judiciary Committee advanced the nomination 12-10 along party lines on August 4 after Blanche reached agreements addressing those concerns, with Bill Cassidy indicating support. Democrats are expected to oppose uniformly. Traders price the floor vote—anticipated in the coming days—at roughly 50 yes votes, reflecting the impact of at least one Republican defection and limited prospects for crossover support in a closely divided chamber.

This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.

Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$17,293
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"有多少參議員會投票支持Todd Blanche擔任司法部長？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "50" at 82%, followed by "49" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "有多少參議員會投票支持Todd Blanche擔任司法部長？" has generated $17.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "有多少參議員會投票支持Todd Blanche擔任司法部長？," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "有多少參議員會投票支持Todd Blanche擔任司法部長？" is "50" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "49" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "有多少參議員會投票支持Todd Blanche擔任司法部長？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.