**Trader consensus around 0-1 Emmys for Hacks at 63.9% implied probability stems primarily from the show's record 24 nominations for its fifth and final season clashing with stiff competition in the comedy field.** Hacks earned nods across Outstanding Comedy Series, Jean Smart’s lead actress bid, and multiple supporting and technical categories, building on its prior 12 wins and 2024 series victory, yet recent momentum has favored newer contenders like Widow’s Bay. Smart remains the clearest frontrunner for lead actress given her consistent guild and precursor success plus historical voter loyalty to repeat performers, but supporting acting and series outcomes appear more contested. Creative Arts results and last-minute industry sentiment further cap expectations for a broad sweep. The ceremony timing on September 14 heightens focus on these conversion rates from nominations to wins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於How many Emmys will “Hacks” win?
0-1 100.0%
2-3 <1%
4-5 <1%
6-7 <1%
$122,845 交易量
$122,845 交易量
0-1
100%
2-3
<1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
<1%
8-9
<1%
10+
<1%
0-1 100.0%
2-3 <1%
4-5 <1%
6-7 <1%
$122,845 交易量
$122,845 交易量
0-1
100%
2-3
<1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
<1%
8-9
<1%
10+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Hacks," or by people for their roles in "Hacks," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Hacks," or by people for their roles in "Hacks," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Trader consensus around 0-1 Emmys for Hacks at 63.9% implied probability stems primarily from the show's record 24 nominations for its fifth and final season clashing with stiff competition in the comedy field.** Hacks earned nods across Outstanding Comedy Series, Jean Smart’s lead actress bid, and multiple supporting and technical categories, building on its prior 12 wins and 2024 series victory, yet recent momentum has favored newer contenders like Widow’s Bay. Smart remains the clearest frontrunner for lead actress given her consistent guild and precursor success plus historical voter loyalty to repeat performers, but supporting acting and series outcomes appear more contested. Creative Arts results and last-minute industry sentiment further cap expectations for a broad sweep. The ceremony timing on September 14 heightens focus on these conversion rates from nominations to wins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions