Traders assign a 99.6% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting because new Chair Kevin Warsh has aligned the committee around holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% amid sticky PCE inflation near 3.8% and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate. Recent data releases, including April job openings at 7.6 million and solid first-quarter GDP, have reinforced the case for policy continuity rather than immediate shifts, reducing internal divisions compared with the four dissents recorded in April. The unanimous outcome reflects broad agreement on the current monetary policy stance versus forward guidance. A sudden deterioration in labor market indicators or an escalation in geopolitical energy price pressures ahead of the July 28-29 meeting could still introduce dissent if projections diverge sharply.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 99.6%
1 <1%
2 <1%
3 <1%
$61,442 交易量
$61,442 交易量
0
Yes
1
No
2
No
3
No
4+
No
0 99.6%
1 <1%
2 <1%
3 <1%
$61,442 交易量
$61,442 交易量
0
Yes
1
No
2
No
3
No
4+
No
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Traders assign a 99.6% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting because new Chair Kevin Warsh has aligned the committee around holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% amid sticky PCE inflation near 3.8% and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate. Recent data releases, including April job openings at 7.6 million and solid first-quarter GDP, have reinforced the case for policy continuity rather than immediate shifts, reducing internal divisions compared with the four dissents recorded in April. The unanimous outcome reflects broad agreement on the current monetary policy stance versus forward guidance. A sudden deterioration in labor market indicators or an escalation in geopolitical energy price pressures ahead of the July 28-29 meeting could still introduce dissent if projections diverge sharply.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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