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政治·政府關閉

國土安全部關閉會持續多久？

Market icon
政治·政府關閉

國土安全部關閉會持續多久？

3月 14

3月 14

Polymarket

$1,437,841 交易量

Polymarket

$1,437,841 交易量

70天以上

$31,156 交易量

88%

80天以上

$32,117 交易量

67%

90天以上

$39,266 交易量

65%

100天以上

$163 交易量

29%

110天以上

$80 交易量

37%

120天以上

$200 交易量

47%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security (DHS) shutdown, ongoing since February 14, 2026—now exceeding 60 days—stems from congressional impasse over fiscal year 2026 appropriations tied to immigration enforcement reforms for agencies like ICE, CBP, and USCIS. The Senate has repeatedly passed bipartisan stop-gap funding bills, including unanimous votes in early April, but House Republicans have stalled or rejected them amid internal divisions. Recent House Appropriations Committee hearings on April 16 featured DHS and OMB officials testifying to operational strains, including cybersecurity risks, FEMA disaster response delays, and World Cup preparations, with OMB Director Russell Vought warning of agency "disintegration." Executive actions have recalled furloughed TSA workers and authorized back pay, but full resolution awaits House action on a funding bill, potentially before late April deadlines. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over GOP unity and negotiation breakthroughs.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,437,841
結束日期
2026-03-14
市場開放時間
Feb 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security (DHS) shutdown, ongoing since February 14, 2026—now exceeding 60 days—stems from congressional impasse over fiscal year 2026 appropriations tied to immigration enforcement reforms for agencies like ICE, CBP, and USCIS. The Senate has repeatedly passed bipartisan stop-gap funding bills, including unanimous votes in early April, but House Republicans have stalled or rejected them amid internal divisions. Recent House Appropriations Committee hearings on April 16 featured DHS and OMB officials testifying to operational strains, including cybersecurity risks, FEMA disaster response delays, and World Cup preparations, with OMB Director Russell Vought warning of agency "disintegration." Executive actions have recalled furloughed TSA workers and authorized back pay, but full resolution awaits House action on a funding bill, potentially before late April deadlines. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over GOP unity and negotiation breakthroughs.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,437,841
結束日期
2026-03-14
市場開放時間
Feb 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"國土安全部關閉會持續多久？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "3天以上" at 100%, followed by "5天以上" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "國土安全部關閉會持續多久？" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "國土安全部關閉會持續多久？," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "國土安全部關閉會持續多久？" is "3天以上" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5天以上" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "國土安全部關閉會持續多久？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.