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運動·免費單人

How long will it take Alex Honnold to free solo Taipei 101?

Market icon
運動·免費單人

How long will it take Alex Honnold to free solo Taipei 101?

Polymarket

$4,570,345 交易量

Polymarket

$4,570,345 交易量

<1hr

$439,402 交易量

No

1hr - 1hr 15m

$515,081 交易量

No

1 hr 15m - 1 hr 30m

$1,006,123 交易量

No

1hr 30m - 1hr 45m

$548,452 交易量

Yes

1hr 45m - 2hr

$389,059 交易量

No

2hr - 2hr 15m

$306,192 交易量

No

2hr 15m - 2hr 30m

$285,135 交易量

No

2hr 30m+

$339,926 交易量

No

Not Completed

$740,975 交易量

No

Alex Honnold is scheduled to free solo (climb without ropes or protective equipment) the tallest building in Taiwan (Taipei 101) on a Netflix livestream on January 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Alex Honnold to complete this free solo. Honnold’s free solo will begin when he first leaves the ground and starts climbing or when an on-screen timer of the climb begins (if available). Alex Honnold’s free solo will be considered completed when he finishes the full route depicted as the official climb in the Netflix livestream of the event without the use of ropes or protective equipment. If the livestream presents the climb as ending upon reaching the roof or 101st floor of Taipei 101, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold reaches that point. If the livestream presents the official route as continuing beyond the 101st floor to the top of the building’s spire, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold first reaches the top of the spire. If Alex Honnold completes the free solo in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longest time bracket. If Honnold’s free solo attempt is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, abandoned before completion (e.g. he climbs back down or enters the building through a window), or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed". The resolution source for this market will be the Netflix livestream of Honnold’s climb (including an on-screen timer if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alex Honnold is scheduled to free solo (climb without ropes or protective equipment) the tallest building in Taiwan (Taipei 101) on a Netflix livestream on January 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Alex Honnold to complete this free solo.

Honnold’s free solo will begin when he first leaves the ground and starts climbing or when an on-screen timer of the climb begins (if available).

Alex Honnold’s free solo will be considered completed when he finishes the full route depicted as the official climb in the Netflix livestream of the event without the use of ropes or protective equipment. If the livestream presents the climb as ending upon reaching the roof or 101st floor of Taipei 101, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold reaches that point. If the livestream presents the official route as continuing beyond the 101st floor to the top of the building’s spire, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold first reaches the top of the spire.

If Alex Honnold completes the free solo in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longest time bracket.

If Honnold’s free solo attempt is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, abandoned before completion (e.g. he climbs back down or enters the building through a window), or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".

The resolution source for this market will be the Netflix livestream of Honnold’s climb (including an on-screen timer if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,570,345
結束日期
2026-01-23
市場開放時間
Dec 22, 2025, 7:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Alex Honnold is scheduled to free solo (climb without ropes or protective equipment) the tallest building in Taiwan (Taipei 101) on a Netflix livestream on January 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Alex Honnold to complete this free solo. Honnold’s free solo will begin when he first leaves the ground and starts climbing or when an on-screen timer of the climb begins (if available). Alex Honnold’s free solo will be considered completed when he finishes the full route depicted as the official climb in the Netflix livestream of the event without the use of ropes or protective equipment. If the livestream presents the climb as ending upon reaching the roof or 101st floor of Taipei 101, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold reaches that point. If the livestream presents the official route as continuing beyond the 101st floor to the top of the building’s spire, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold first reaches the top of the spire. If Alex Honnold completes the free solo in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longest time bracket. If Honnold’s free solo attempt is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, abandoned before completion (e.g. he climbs back down or enters the building through a window), or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed". The resolution source for this market will be the Netflix livestream of Honnold’s climb (including an on-screen timer if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

Alex Honnold is scheduled to free solo (climb without ropes or protective equipment) the tallest building in Taiwan (Taipei 101) on a Netflix livestream on January 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Alex Honnold to complete this free solo. Honnold’s free solo will begin when he first leaves the ground and starts climbing or when an on-screen timer of the climb begins (if available). Alex Honnold’s free solo will be considered completed when he finishes the full route depicted as the official climb in the Netflix livestream of the event without the use of ropes or protective equipment. If the livestream presents the climb as ending upon reaching the roof or 101st floor of Taipei 101, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold reaches that point. If the livestream presents the official route as continuing beyond the 101st floor to the top of the building’s spire, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold first reaches the top of the spire. If Alex Honnold completes the free solo in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longest time bracket. If Honnold’s free solo attempt is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, abandoned before completion (e.g. he climbs back down or enters the building through a window), or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed". The resolution source for this market will be the Netflix livestream of Honnold’s climb (including an on-screen timer if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alex Honnold is scheduled to free solo (climb without ropes or protective equipment) the tallest building in Taiwan (Taipei 101) on a Netflix livestream on January 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Alex Honnold to complete this free solo.

Honnold’s free solo will begin when he first leaves the ground and starts climbing or when an on-screen timer of the climb begins (if available).

Alex Honnold’s free solo will be considered completed when he finishes the full route depicted as the official climb in the Netflix livestream of the event without the use of ropes or protective equipment. If the livestream presents the climb as ending upon reaching the roof or 101st floor of Taipei 101, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold reaches that point. If the livestream presents the official route as continuing beyond the 101st floor to the top of the building’s spire, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold first reaches the top of the spire.

If Alex Honnold completes the free solo in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longest time bracket.

If Honnold’s free solo attempt is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, abandoned before completion (e.g. he climbs back down or enters the building through a window), or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".

The resolution source for this market will be the Netflix livestream of Honnold’s climb (including an on-screen timer if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,570,345
結束日期
2026-01-23
市場開放時間
Dec 22, 2025, 7:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Alex Honnold is scheduled to free solo (climb without ropes or protective equipment) the tallest building in Taiwan (Taipei 101) on a Netflix livestream on January 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Alex Honnold to complete this free solo. Honnold’s free solo will begin when he first leaves the ground and starts climbing or when an on-screen timer of the climb begins (if available). Alex Honnold’s free solo will be considered completed when he finishes the full route depicted as the official climb in the Netflix livestream of the event without the use of ropes or protective equipment. If the livestream presents the climb as ending upon reaching the roof or 101st floor of Taipei 101, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold reaches that point. If the livestream presents the official route as continuing beyond the 101st floor to the top of the building’s spire, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold first reaches the top of the spire. If Alex Honnold completes the free solo in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longest time bracket. If Honnold’s free solo attempt is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, abandoned before completion (e.g. he climbs back down or enters the building through a window), or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed". The resolution source for this market will be the Netflix livestream of Honnold’s climb (including an on-screen timer if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"How long will it take Alex Honnold to free solo Taipei 101?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1hr 30m - 1hr 45m" at 100%, followed by "<1hr" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How long will it take Alex Honnold to free solo Taipei 101?" has generated $4.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How long will it take Alex Honnold to free solo Taipei 101?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How long will it take Alex Honnold to free solo Taipei 101?" is "1hr 30m - 1hr 45m" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<1hr" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How long will it take Alex Honnold to free solo Taipei 101?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.