Recent Met Office forecasts for London on June 8 point to a daytime maximum of 16°C under a cool, stable air mass with persistent cloud cover and light winds limiting solar heating. This aligns with observed trends where June averages near 19–20°C have given way to below-normal readings amid northerly flow. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 16°C reflects high confidence in official measurements from the primary monitoring station, with minimal model spread on peak values. Unlikely shifts could occur only if localized clearing allows brief warming or if resolution criteria favor an alternate reporting site, though current guidance shows little scope for deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月8日倫敦的最高溫度?
16°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$291,306 交易量
$291,306 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或以上
否
16°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$291,306 交易量
$291,306 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 6, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent Met Office forecasts for London on June 8 point to a daytime maximum of 16°C under a cool, stable air mass with persistent cloud cover and light winds limiting solar heating. This aligns with observed trends where June averages near 19–20°C have given way to below-normal readings amid northerly flow. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 16°C reflects high confidence in official measurements from the primary monitoring station, with minimal model spread on peak values. Unlikely shifts could occur only if localized clearing allows brief warming or if resolution criteria favor an alternate reporting site, though current guidance shows little scope for deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions