**Recent forecasts from numerical weather models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a daily maximum near 13°C for Buenos Aires on July 19, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 13–15°C (combined ~80% implied probability).** Mid-July places the region in the heart of Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological average highs hover around 14–15°C under the influence of cooler maritime polar air masses and frequent frontal passages. A warming spell earlier in the week, driven by northwesterly flow that pushed temperatures toward 22–24°C on July 17, has given way to a southward surge of cooler air, lowering expected maxima and tightening the distribution around 13–15°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on official station readings that capture urban heat-island effects and precise timing of any residual cloud cover or light precipitation. Traders are pricing in this post-frontal cooling while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting both the narrow forecast range and historical July variability rarely exceeding 18–19°C or dropping below 11°C on any single day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月19日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
7月19日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$56,631 交易量
$56,631 交易量
2026-07-19
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$56,631 交易量
$56,631 交易量
2026-07-19
9°C or below
$5,052 交易量
No
10°C
$5,994 交易量
No
11°C
$10,886 交易量
No
12°C
$6,966 交易量
No
13°C
$8,968 交易量
Yes
14°C
$5,849 交易量
No
15°C
$3,819 交易量
No
16°C
$2,824 交易量
No
17°C
$1,258 交易量
No
18°C
$3,106 交易量
No
19°C or higher
$1,908 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from numerical weather models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a daily maximum near 13°C for Buenos Aires on July 19, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 13–15°C (combined ~80% implied probability).** Mid-July places the region in the heart of Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological average highs hover around 14–15°C under the influence of cooler maritime polar air masses and frequent frontal passages. A warming spell earlier in the week, driven by northwesterly flow that pushed temperatures toward 22–24°C on July 17, has given way to a southward surge of cooler air, lowering expected maxima and tightening the distribution around 13–15°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on official station readings that capture urban heat-island effects and precise timing of any residual cloud cover or light precipitation. Traders are pricing in this post-frontal cooling while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting both the narrow forecast range and historical July variability rarely exceeding 18–19°C or dropping below 11°C on any single day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 17, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$56,631結束日期
2026-07-19市場開放時間
Jul 17, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from numerical weather models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a daily maximum near 13°C for Buenos Aires on July 19, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 13–15°C (combined ~80% implied probability).** Mid-July places the region in the heart of Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological average highs hover around 14–15°C under the influence of cooler maritime polar air masses and frequent frontal passages. A warming spell earlier in the week, driven by northwesterly flow that pushed temperatures toward 22–24°C on July 17, has given way to a southward surge of cooler air, lowering expected maxima and tightening the distribution around 13–15°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on official station readings that capture urban heat-island effects and precise timing of any residual cloud cover or light precipitation. Traders are pricing in this post-frontal cooling while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting both the narrow forecast range and historical July variability rarely exceeding 18–19°C or dropping below 11°C on any single day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$56,631結束日期
2026-07-19市場開放時間
Jul 17, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Recent forecasts from numerical weather models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a daily maximum near 13°C for Buenos Aires on July 19, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 13–15°C (combined ~80% implied probability).** Mid-July places the region in the heart of Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological average highs hover around 14–15°C under the influence of cooler maritime polar air masses and frequent frontal passages. A warming spell earlier in the week, driven by northwesterly flow that pushed temperatures toward 22–24°C on July 17, has given way to a southward surge of cooler air, lowering expected maxima and tightening the distribution around 13–15°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on official station readings that capture urban heat-island effects and precise timing of any residual cloud cover or light precipitation. Traders are pricing in this post-frontal cooling while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting both the narrow forecast range and historical July variability rarely exceeding 18–19°C or dropping below 11°C on any single day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions