Latest ECMWF and KNMI model runs point to a modest high near 20°C in Amsterdam on July 18, driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 19–21°C, with modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and daytime cloud cover creating the close market pricing between those buckets. Historical July maxima average roughly 22°C, but current steering patterns favor a slightly cooler regime. Updated model cycles and any observed shifts in sea-surface temperatures or upper-level ridging over the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could tip probabilities toward 19°C or 21°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月18日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
7月18日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
19°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$70,854 交易量
$70,854 交易量
2026-07-18
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或以上
否
19°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$70,854 交易量
$70,854 交易量
2026-07-18
16°C或以下
$6,917 交易量
否
17°C
$9,776 交易量
否
18°C
$10,250 交易量
否
19°C
$17,835 交易量
是
20°C
$13,128 交易量
否
21°C
$7,726 交易量
否
22°C
$3,073 交易量
否
23°C
$849 交易量
否
24°C
$702 交易量
否
25°C
$298 交易量
否
26°C或以上
$300 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and KNMI model runs point to a modest high near 20°C in Amsterdam on July 18, driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 19–21°C, with modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and daytime cloud cover creating the close market pricing between those buckets. Historical July maxima average roughly 22°C, but current steering patterns favor a slightly cooler regime. Updated model cycles and any observed shifts in sea-surface temperatures or upper-level ridging over the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could tip probabilities toward 19°C or 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$70,854結束日期
2026-07-18市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and KNMI model runs point to a modest high near 20°C in Amsterdam on July 18, driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 19–21°C, with modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and daytime cloud cover creating the close market pricing between those buckets. Historical July maxima average roughly 22°C, but current steering patterns favor a slightly cooler regime. Updated model cycles and any observed shifts in sea-surface temperatures or upper-level ridging over the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could tip probabilities toward 19°C or 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$70,854結束日期
2026-07-18市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Latest ECMWF and KNMI model runs point to a modest high near 20°C in Amsterdam on July 18, driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 19–21°C, with modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and daytime cloud cover creating the close market pricing between those buckets. Historical July maxima average roughly 22°C, but current steering patterns favor a slightly cooler regime. Updated model cycles and any observed shifts in sea-surface temperatures or upper-level ridging over the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could tip probabilities toward 19°C or 21°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions