xAI continues rapid iteration on its Grok large language models, with Grok 4.3 released to the API in early May 2026 featuring a 1-million-token context window, top rankings in agentic tool calling, and enterprise benchmarks. Elon Musk recently stated that a 1.5-trillion-parameter successor, internally referred to as V9 and positioned as the next major upgrade after the 0.5-trillion-parameter Grok 4.3, completed training and requires roughly three to four weeks of supplemental data, supervised fine-tuning, and reinforcement learning before release. This timeline aligns with xAI’s pattern of frequent updates on its Colossus training cluster while facing competition from models like Anthropic’s Claude and OpenAI’s o-series. Traders are monitoring Musk’s public statements and official xAI announcements for confirmation of the Grok 4.4 designation and exact availability on grok.com, X, and the API.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-06-30
May 31
19%
June 15
28%
June 30
78%
$60 交易量
May 31
$20 交易量
19%
June 15
$0 交易量
28%
June 30
$40 交易量
78%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI continues rapid iteration on its Grok large language models, with Grok 4.3 released to the API in early May 2026 featuring a 1-million-token context window, top rankings in agentic tool calling, and enterprise benchmarks. Elon Musk recently stated that a 1.5-trillion-parameter successor, internally referred to as V9 and positioned as the next major upgrade after the 0.5-trillion-parameter Grok 4.3, completed training and requires roughly three to four weeks of supplemental data, supervised fine-tuning, and reinforcement learning before release. This timeline aligns with xAI’s pattern of frequent updates on its Colossus training cluster while facing competition from models like Anthropic’s Claude and OpenAI’s o-series. Traders are monitoring Musk’s public statements and official xAI announcements for confirmation of the Grok 4.4 designation and exact availability on grok.com, X, and the API.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
交易量
$60結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI continues rapid iteration on its Grok large language models, with Grok 4.3 released to the API in early May 2026 featuring a 1-million-token context window, top rankings in agentic tool calling, and enterprise benchmarks. Elon Musk recently stated that a 1.5-trillion-parameter successor, internally referred to as V9 and positioned as the next major upgrade after the 0.5-trillion-parameter Grok 4.3, completed training and requires roughly three to four weeks of supplemental data, supervised fine-tuning, and reinforcement learning before release. This timeline aligns with xAI’s pattern of frequent updates on its Colossus training cluster while facing competition from models like Anthropic’s Claude and OpenAI’s o-series. Traders are monitoring Musk’s public statements and official xAI announcements for confirmation of the Grok 4.4 designation and exact availability on grok.com, X, and the API.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$60結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI continues rapid iteration on its Grok large language models, with Grok 4.3 released to the API in early May 2026 featuring a 1-million-token context window, top rankings in agentic tool calling, and enterprise benchmarks. Elon Musk recently stated that a 1.5-trillion-parameter successor, internally referred to as V9 and positioned as the next major upgrade after the 0.5-trillion-parameter Grok 4.3, completed training and requires roughly three to four weeks of supplemental data, supervised fine-tuning, and reinforcement learning before release. This timeline aligns with xAI’s pattern of frequent updates on its Colossus training cluster while facing competition from models like Anthropic’s Claude and OpenAI’s o-series. Traders are monitoring Musk’s public statements and official xAI announcements for confirmation of the Grok 4.4 designation and exact availability on grok.com, X, and the API.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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