**Persistent supply constraints from TSMC CoWoS packaging and HBM3e memory bottlenecks continue to support B200 rental rates in the mid-$4 to low-$7 per GPU-hour range across specialist providers as of mid-2026, even as NVIDIA ramps Blackwell production toward one million units monthly.** Hyperscaler capex surges and frontier-model training demand have kept on-demand capacity tight, with neocloud spot pricing sometimes dipping lower while enterprise allocations remain prioritized. The closely matched market odds around $4.50–$6.50 reflect trader uncertainty over whether expanded 2026 output—offset by custom ASIC competition from AMD MI350X and in-house silicon—will ease pricing or if sustained AI infrastructure buildout will maintain premiums. Key near-term catalysts include TSMC capacity additions and hyperscaler deployment updates that could shift availability before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$5.50-$6.00 17%
$5.00-$5.50 16.4%
$6.00-$6.50 16%
$4.50-$5.00 16%
$55,393 交易量
$55,393 交易量
低於3.00美元
7%
$3.00-$3.50
4%
$3.50-$4.00
3%
$4.00-$4.50
13%
$4.50-$5.00
16%
$5.00-$5.50
16%
$5.50-$6.00
17%
$6.00-$6.50
16%
$6.50-$7.00
9%
$7.00以上
10%
$5.50-$6.00 17%
$5.00-$5.50 16.4%
$6.00-$6.50 16%
$4.50-$5.00 16%
$55,393 交易量
$55,393 交易量
低於3.00美元
7%
$3.00-$3.50
4%
$3.50-$4.00
3%
$4.00-$4.50
13%
$4.50-$5.00
16%
$5.00-$5.50
16%
$5.50-$6.00
17%
$6.00-$6.50
16%
$6.50-$7.00
9%
$7.00以上
10%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent supply constraints from TSMC CoWoS packaging and HBM3e memory bottlenecks continue to support B200 rental rates in the mid-$4 to low-$7 per GPU-hour range across specialist providers as of mid-2026, even as NVIDIA ramps Blackwell production toward one million units monthly.** Hyperscaler capex surges and frontier-model training demand have kept on-demand capacity tight, with neocloud spot pricing sometimes dipping lower while enterprise allocations remain prioritized. The closely matched market odds around $4.50–$6.50 reflect trader uncertainty over whether expanded 2026 output—offset by custom ASIC competition from AMD MI350X and in-house silicon—will ease pricing or if sustained AI infrastructure buildout will maintain premiums. Key near-term catalysts include TSMC capacity additions and hyperscaler deployment updates that could shift availability before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions