Recent euro area resilience underpins the 53.5% market-implied probability for 0.8-1.1% Q3 2026 GDP growth. Q2 expanded 0.6% quarter-over-quarter after revisions, driven by net exports and Irish data normalization, prompting the ECB to lift its 2026 annual forecast to 0.9% in September projections. Persistent Middle East energy shocks have pushed headline inflation toward 3.0% for 2026 and prompted a 25-basis-point rate hike, while August heatwaves and droughts are expected to weigh on third-quarter activity. Improving sentiment indicators and defense/AI investment provide counter-support, though geopolitical uncertainty caps upside risks to the 1.2-1.5% band at 27.5%. The October flash release remains the key near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於0.8-1.1% 54%
1.2-1.5% 26.4%
0.4-0.7% 10.8%
0.0-0.3% 1.0%
$62,326 交易量
$62,326 交易量
2026-10-30
<0.0%
1%
0.0-0.3%
1%
0.4-0.7%
11%
0.8-1.1%
54%
1.2-1.5%
26%
1.6-1.9%
<1%
2.0%+
1%
0.8-1.1% 54%
1.2-1.5% 26.4%
0.4-0.7% 10.8%
0.0-0.3% 1.0%
$62,326 交易量
$62,326 交易量
2026-10-30
<0.0%
$1,661 交易量
1%
0.0-0.3%
$1,506 交易量
1%
0.4-0.7%
$9,920 交易量
11%
0.8-1.1%
$42,718 交易量
54%
1.2-1.5%
$3,527 交易量
26%
1.6-1.9%
$1,634 交易量
<1%
2.0%+
$1,360 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent euro area resilience underpins the 53.5% market-implied probability for 0.8-1.1% Q3 2026 GDP growth. Q2 expanded 0.6% quarter-over-quarter after revisions, driven by net exports and Irish data normalization, prompting the ECB to lift its 2026 annual forecast to 0.9% in September projections. Persistent Middle East energy shocks have pushed headline inflation toward 3.0% for 2026 and prompted a 25-basis-point rate hike, while August heatwaves and droughts are expected to weigh on third-quarter activity. Improving sentiment indicators and defense/AI investment provide counter-support, though geopolitical uncertainty caps upside risks to the 1.2-1.5% band at 27.5%. The October flash release remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
交易量
$62,326結束日期
2026-10-30市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent euro area resilience underpins the 53.5% market-implied probability for 0.8-1.1% Q3 2026 GDP growth. Q2 expanded 0.6% quarter-over-quarter after revisions, driven by net exports and Irish data normalization, prompting the ECB to lift its 2026 annual forecast to 0.9% in September projections. Persistent Middle East energy shocks have pushed headline inflation toward 3.0% for 2026 and prompted a 25-basis-point rate hike, while August heatwaves and droughts are expected to weigh on third-quarter activity. Improving sentiment indicators and defense/AI investment provide counter-support, though geopolitical uncertainty caps upside risks to the 1.2-1.5% band at 27.5%. The October flash release remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$62,326結束日期
2026-10-30市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETRecent euro area resilience underpins the 53.5% market-implied probability for 0.8-1.1% Q3 2026 GDP growth. Q2 expanded 0.6% quarter-over-quarter after revisions, driven by net exports and Irish data normalization, prompting the ECB to lift its 2026 annual forecast to 0.9% in September projections. Persistent Middle East energy shocks have pushed headline inflation toward 3.0% for 2026 and prompted a 25-basis-point rate hike, while August heatwaves and droughts are expected to weigh on third-quarter activity. Improving sentiment indicators and defense/AI investment provide counter-support, though geopolitical uncertainty caps upside risks to the 1.2-1.5% band at 27.5%. The October flash release remains the key near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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