The Late Show With Stephen Colbert leads trader sentiment at 66% implied probability following its nine 2026 Emmy nominations—including Outstanding Variety Series—in what marks the program’s final season. Multiple nods for writing, directing, and production design underscore strong industry recognition for its sustained relevance amid late-night competition. Historical precedent favors farewell seasons in awards voting, amplifying momentum ahead of the ceremony. Last Week Tonight With John Oliver and Jimmy Kimmel Live! trail at 13% and 11.5% respectively, reflecting solid but less dominant precursor showings and ongoing category strength for weekly satirical formats. Saturday Night Live and The Daily Show remain long shots, with limited recent guild or critics’ traction to shift the consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於艾美獎2026 ：傑出綜藝系列
艾美獎2026 ：傑出綜藝系列
《史蒂芬·科貝爾晚間秀》 66%
《吉米·基墨直播！》 13.0%
《上週今夜秀與約翰·奧利佛》 12.8%
《週六夜現場》 2.9%
$57,065 交易量
$57,065 交易量
2026-09-14
《史蒂芬·科貝爾晚間秀》
66%
《吉米·基墨直播！》
13%
《上週今夜秀與約翰·奧利佛》
13%
《週六夜現場》
3%
《每日秀》
1%
《史蒂芬·科貝爾晚間秀》 66%
《吉米·基墨直播！》 13.0%
《上週今夜秀與約翰·奧利佛》 12.8%
《週六夜現場》 2.9%
$57,065 交易量
$57,065 交易量
2026-09-14
《史蒂芬·科貝爾晚間秀》
$18,174 交易量
66%
《吉米·基墨直播！》
$15,309 交易量
13%
《上週今夜秀與約翰·奧利佛》
$9,172 交易量
13%
《週六夜現場》
$6,490 交易量
3%
《每日秀》
$7,921 交易量
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show With Stephen Colbert leads trader sentiment at 66% implied probability following its nine 2026 Emmy nominations—including Outstanding Variety Series—in what marks the program’s final season. Multiple nods for writing, directing, and production design underscore strong industry recognition for its sustained relevance amid late-night competition. Historical precedent favors farewell seasons in awards voting, amplifying momentum ahead of the ceremony. Last Week Tonight With John Oliver and Jimmy Kimmel Live! trail at 13% and 11.5% respectively, reflecting solid but less dominant precursor showings and ongoing category strength for weekly satirical formats. Saturday Night Live and The Daily Show remain long shots, with limited recent guild or critics’ traction to shift the consensus.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
交易量
$57,065結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show With Stephen Colbert leads trader sentiment at 66% implied probability following its nine 2026 Emmy nominations—including Outstanding Variety Series—in what marks the program’s final season. Multiple nods for writing, directing, and production design underscore strong industry recognition for its sustained relevance amid late-night competition. Historical precedent favors farewell seasons in awards voting, amplifying momentum ahead of the ceremony. Last Week Tonight With John Oliver and Jimmy Kimmel Live! trail at 13% and 11.5% respectively, reflecting solid but less dominant precursor showings and ongoing category strength for weekly satirical formats. Saturday Night Live and The Daily Show remain long shots, with limited recent guild or critics’ traction to shift the consensus.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$57,065結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Late Show With Stephen Colbert leads trader sentiment at 66% implied probability following its nine 2026 Emmy nominations—including Outstanding Variety Series—in what marks the program’s final season. Multiple nods for writing, directing, and production design underscore strong industry recognition for its sustained relevance amid late-night competition. Historical precedent favors farewell seasons in awards voting, amplifying momentum ahead of the ceremony. Last Week Tonight With John Oliver and Jimmy Kimmel Live! trail at 13% and 11.5% respectively, reflecting solid but less dominant precursor showings and ongoing category strength for weekly satirical formats. Saturday Night Live and The Daily Show remain long shots, with limited recent guild or critics’ traction to shift the consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions