Linda Cardellini’s Emmy nomination for her layered turn as Carol Love-Smernitch in the critically praised HBO miniseries DTF St. Louis (89% on Rotten Tomatoes) anchors the market’s heavy favorite status at 80.5% implied probability. Strong reviews, the show’s March 2026 premiere buzz, and multiple guild nods have built clear momentum, reflecting trader consensus on her frontrunner position ahead of the September ceremony. The remaining field trails sharply: Youn Yuh-jung’s scene-stealing work in Beef sits at 10.8%, while Constance Zimmer, Laurie Metcalf, Joy Sunday, and Dakota Fanning register single-digit odds amid less dominant campaign narratives and precursor results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於艾美獎2026 :限量或選集系列或電影中的傑出女配角
琳達·卡德里尼 –《DTF 聖路易斯》 81%
尹汝貞 –《怒嗆人生》 10.5%
康斯坦絲·齊默 ——《愛情故事:約翰·甘迺迪二世與卡羅琳·貝塞特》 5.0%
蘿莉·麥特卡夫 –《怪物:艾德·蓋恩的故事》 4.1%
$34,102 交易量
$34,102 交易量
琳達·卡德里尼 –《DTF 聖路易斯》
81%
尹汝貞 –《怒嗆人生》
10%
康斯坦絲·齊默 ——《愛情故事:約翰·甘迺迪二世與卡羅琳·貝塞特》
5%
蘿莉·麥特卡夫 –《怪物:艾德·蓋恩的故事》
4%
喬伊·桑迪—《DTF聖路易斯》
2%
達科塔·芬妮 –《全都是她的錯》
<1%
琳達·卡德里尼 –《DTF 聖路易斯》 81%
尹汝貞 –《怒嗆人生》 10.5%
康斯坦絲·齊默 ——《愛情故事:約翰·甘迺迪二世與卡羅琳·貝塞特》 5.0%
蘿莉·麥特卡夫 –《怪物:艾德·蓋恩的故事》 4.1%
$34,102 交易量
$34,102 交易量
琳達·卡德里尼 –《DTF 聖路易斯》
81%
尹汝貞 –《怒嗆人生》
10%
康斯坦絲·齊默 ——《愛情故事:約翰·甘迺迪二世與卡羅琳·貝塞特》
5%
蘿莉·麥特卡夫 –《怪物:艾德·蓋恩的故事》
4%
喬伊·桑迪—《DTF聖路易斯》
2%
達科塔·芬妮 –《全都是她的錯》
<1%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 10, 2026, 12:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Linda Cardellini’s Emmy nomination for her layered turn as Carol Love-Smernitch in the critically praised HBO miniseries DTF St. Louis (89% on Rotten Tomatoes) anchors the market’s heavy favorite status at 80.5% implied probability. Strong reviews, the show’s March 2026 premiere buzz, and multiple guild nods have built clear momentum, reflecting trader consensus on her frontrunner position ahead of the September ceremony. The remaining field trails sharply: Youn Yuh-jung’s scene-stealing work in Beef sits at 10.8%, while Constance Zimmer, Laurie Metcalf, Joy Sunday, and Dakota Fanning register single-digit odds amid less dominant campaign narratives and precursor results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions