Nominations for the 2026 Emmys have set the competitive landscape for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie, with Beef Season 2 earning 18 nods overall and positioning Carey Mulligan as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability. The Netflix anthology's strong guild and critic support, following the first season's success, bolsters trader confidence in Mulligan's frontrunner status. Sarah Snook's 29% odds reflect her recent Critics' Choice win for All Her Fault and the Peacock series' seven nominations, including lead and supporting acting nods, though it trails in total buzz. Sally Field's 14.1% share stems from her nomination ending a long TV movie drought in Remarkably Bright Creatures, while Sarah Pidgeon and Claire Danes trail at 11.3% and 5.3% amid solid but less dominant FX and Netflix campaigns. The ceremony timing will test whether Beef's momentum holds against Snook's individual acclaim.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於艾美獎2026 :限量或選集系列或電影中的傑出女主角
嘉莉·瑪莉根 –《怒嗆人生》 47%
莎拉·斯努克 –《都是她的錯》 29%
莎莉·菲爾德——《驚人亮眼的生物》 14.1%
Sarah Pidgeon–《愛情故事:約翰·F·甘迺迪小與卡洛琳·貝塞特》 11.2%
$40,953 交易量
$40,953 交易量
嘉莉·瑪莉根 –《怒嗆人生》
47%
莎拉·斯努克 –《都是她的錯》
29%
莎莉·菲爾德——《驚人亮眼的生物》
14%
Sarah Pidgeon–《愛情故事:約翰·F·甘迺迪小與卡洛琳·貝塞特》
11%
Claire Danes –《野獸在我》
5%
嘉莉·瑪莉根 –《怒嗆人生》 47%
莎拉·斯努克 –《都是她的錯》 29%
莎莉·菲爾德——《驚人亮眼的生物》 14.1%
Sarah Pidgeon–《愛情故事:約翰·F·甘迺迪小與卡洛琳·貝塞特》 11.2%
$40,953 交易量
$40,953 交易量
嘉莉·瑪莉根 –《怒嗆人生》
47%
莎拉·斯努克 –《都是她的錯》
29%
莎莉·菲爾德——《驚人亮眼的生物》
14%
Sarah Pidgeon–《愛情故事:約翰·F·甘迺迪小與卡洛琳·貝塞特》
11%
Claire Danes –《野獸在我》
5%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie".
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 10, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie".
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Nominations for the 2026 Emmys have set the competitive landscape for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie, with Beef Season 2 earning 18 nods overall and positioning Carey Mulligan as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability. The Netflix anthology's strong guild and critic support, following the first season's success, bolsters trader confidence in Mulligan's frontrunner status. Sarah Snook's 29% odds reflect her recent Critics' Choice win for All Her Fault and the Peacock series' seven nominations, including lead and supporting acting nods, though it trails in total buzz. Sally Field's 14.1% share stems from her nomination ending a long TV movie drought in Remarkably Bright Creatures, while Sarah Pidgeon and Claire Danes trail at 11.3% and 5.3% amid solid but less dominant FX and Netflix campaigns. The ceremony timing will test whether Beef's momentum holds against Snook's individual acclaim.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions