Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity underpins the market's firm consensus on the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10. Traders track his typical daily output of roughly 10-20 posts, fueled by real-time commentary on Tesla and SpaceX milestones, regulatory developments, and cultural or political topics that spark engagement. The short three-day window matches recent baseline levels without evident disruptions from travel, platform changes, or major offline commitments. An upset below 40 or above 64 tweets would require either an extended quiet period or an unusually intense burst exceeding 20 posts per day, outcomes that remain possible amid fast-moving news cycles but sit outside the dominant historical and current activity profile.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於40-64 100.0%
少於40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$671,988 交易量
$671,988 交易量
2026-08-10
少於40
否
40-64
是
65-89
否
90-114
否
115-139
否
140-164
否
165-189
否
190-214
否
215-239
否
240+
否
40-64 100.0%
少於40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$671,988 交易量
$671,988 交易量
2026-08-10
少於40
$182,552 交易量
否
40-64
$131,034 交易量
是
65-89
$182,228 交易量
否
90-114
$94,107 交易量
否
115-139
$40,303 交易量
否
140-164
$15,300 交易量
否
165-189
$11,585 交易量
否
190-214
$3,948 交易量
否
215-239
$5,411 交易量
否
240+
$5,519 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity underpins the market's firm consensus on the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10. Traders track his typical daily output of roughly 10-20 posts, fueled by real-time commentary on Tesla and SpaceX milestones, regulatory developments, and cultural or political topics that spark engagement. The short three-day window matches recent baseline levels without evident disruptions from travel, platform changes, or major offline commitments. An upset below 40 or above 64 tweets would require either an extended quiet period or an unusually intense burst exceeding 20 posts per day, outcomes that remain possible amid fast-moving news cycles but sit outside the dominant historical and current activity profile.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
交易量
$671,988結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity underpins the market's firm consensus on the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10. Traders track his typical daily output of roughly 10-20 posts, fueled by real-time commentary on Tesla and SpaceX milestones, regulatory developments, and cultural or political topics that spark engagement. The short three-day window matches recent baseline levels without evident disruptions from travel, platform changes, or major offline commitments. An upset below 40 or above 64 tweets would require either an extended quiet period or an unusually intense burst exceeding 20 posts per day, outcomes that remain possible amid fast-moving news cycles but sit outside the dominant historical and current activity profile.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$671,988結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity underpins the market's firm consensus on the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10. Traders track his typical daily output of roughly 10-20 posts, fueled by real-time commentary on Tesla and SpaceX milestones, regulatory developments, and cultural or political topics that spark engagement. The short three-day window matches recent baseline levels without evident disruptions from travel, platform changes, or major offline commitments. An upset below 40 or above 64 tweets would require either an extended quiet period or an unusually intense burst exceeding 20 posts per day, outcomes that remain possible amid fast-moving news cycles but sit outside the dominant historical and current activity profile.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions