Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the August 18–25 window has settled into a steady 45–50 posts per day, locking the seven-day total near 330 and driving overwhelming trader consensus on the 320–339 bucket. Ongoing SpaceX and Starship commentary, Grok and AI exchanges, and routine replies to high-engagement accounts have sustained this cadence without the spikes that accompany major launches or controversies. With the period nearly complete and daily pacing consistent, markets treat the range as effectively settled. An upset into 340+ would require a last-minute surge—perhaps tied to an unplanned announcement or viral thread—while dropping below 320 would demand an abrupt slowdown atypical of Musk’s recent patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於320-339 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$4,450,965 交易量
$4,450,965 交易量
2026-08-25
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
Yes
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
320-339 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$4,450,965 交易量
$4,450,965 交易量
2026-08-25
<20
$11,411 交易量
No
20-39
$28,671 交易量
No
40-59
$40,557 交易量
No
60-79
$55,711 交易量
No
80-99
$46,013 交易量
No
100-119
$55,445 交易量
No
120-139
$58,976 交易量
No
140-159
$76,956 交易量
No
160-179
$67,491 交易量
No
180-199
$75,541 交易量
No
200-219
$156,665 交易量
No
220-239
$164,403 交易量
No
240-259
$362,235 交易量
No
260-279
$280,194 交易量
No
280-299
$310,539 交易量
No
300-319
$298,984 交易量
No
320-339
$310,889 交易量
Yes
340-359
$354,624 交易量
No
360-379
$268,578 交易量
No
380-399
$286,531 交易量
No
400-419
$270,733 交易量
No
420-439
$229,570 交易量
No
440-459
$154,508 交易量
No
460-479
$136,325 交易量
No
480-499
$125,544 交易量
No
500+
$223,871 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the August 18–25 window has settled into a steady 45–50 posts per day, locking the seven-day total near 330 and driving overwhelming trader consensus on the 320–339 bucket. Ongoing SpaceX and Starship commentary, Grok and AI exchanges, and routine replies to high-engagement accounts have sustained this cadence without the spikes that accompany major launches or controversies. With the period nearly complete and daily pacing consistent, markets treat the range as effectively settled. An upset into 340+ would require a last-minute surge—perhaps tied to an unplanned announcement or viral thread—while dropping below 320 would demand an abrupt slowdown atypical of Musk’s recent patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$4,450,965結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the August 18–25 window has settled into a steady 45–50 posts per day, locking the seven-day total near 330 and driving overwhelming trader consensus on the 320–339 bucket. Ongoing SpaceX and Starship commentary, Grok and AI exchanges, and routine replies to high-engagement accounts have sustained this cadence without the spikes that accompany major launches or controversies. With the period nearly complete and daily pacing consistent, markets treat the range as effectively settled. An upset into 340+ would require a last-minute surge—perhaps tied to an unplanned announcement or viral thread—while dropping below 320 would demand an abrupt slowdown atypical of Musk’s recent patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$4,450,965結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the August 18–25 window has settled into a steady 45–50 posts per day, locking the seven-day total near 330 and driving overwhelming trader consensus on the 320–339 bucket. Ongoing SpaceX and Starship commentary, Grok and AI exchanges, and routine replies to high-engagement accounts have sustained this cadence without the spikes that accompany major launches or controversies. With the period nearly complete and daily pacing consistent, markets treat the range as effectively settled. An upset into 340+ would require a last-minute surge—perhaps tied to an unplanned announcement or viral thread—while dropping below 320 would demand an abrupt slowdown atypical of Musk’s recent patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions