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icon for Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月10日至4月17日？
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月10日至4月17日？

icon for Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月10日至4月17日？
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月10日至4月17日？

Ended: 4月 17

5月 12

5月 15

5月 19

5月 22

Ended: 4月 17

5月 12

5月 15

5月 19

5月 22

300-319 100.0%

少於20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$13,942,624 交易量

300-319 100.0%

少於20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$13,942,624 交易量

少於20

$79,617 交易量

否

20-39

$116,332 交易量

否

40-59

$14,951 交易量

否

60-79

$616,704 交易量

否

80-99

$98,881 交易量

否

100-119

$100,180 交易量

否

120-139

$143,462 交易量

否

140-159

$218,683 交易量

否

160-179

$185,575 交易量

否

180-199

$205,766 交易量

否

200-219

$632,016 交易量

否

220-239

$540,803 交易量

否

240-259

$826,552 交易量

否

260-279

$1,044,380 交易量

否

280-299

$903,608 交易量

否

300-319

$757,365 交易量

是

320-339

$1,024,671 交易量

否

340-359

$897,574 交易量

否

360-379

$791,987 交易量

否

380-399

$1,097,791 交易量

否

400-419

$691,136 交易量

否

420-439

$441,924 交易量

否

440-459

$487,758 交易量

否

460-479

$346,999 交易量

否

480-499

$331,792 交易量

否

500-519

$265,290 交易量

否

520-539

$266,520 交易量

否

540-559

$270,417 交易量

否

560-579

$188,784 交易量

否

580+

$355,107 交易量

否

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to April 17, 2026, driven by live tracking data from tools like XTracker confirming a final tally of 304 posts as of early April 17 EST, with the period now at 100% completion. This reflects his steady social media engagement pace of 43 posts per day—consistent with recent patterns amid viral discussions on Grok 4.3 beta capabilities, Neuralink advancements, and AI-driven universal income debates—without notable spikes or lulls over the past week. While overwhelming precursor counts cement the frontrunner, a realistic upset would require rare resolution disputes over post inclusions or uncounted replies, though traders see negligible risk given verified tallies and historical counting precedents.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$13,942,624
結束日期
2026-04-17
市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to April 17, 2026, driven by live tracking data from tools like XTracker confirming a final tally of 304 posts as of early April 17 EST, with the period now at 100% completion. This reflects his steady social media engagement pace of 43 posts per day—consistent with recent patterns amid viral discussions on Grok 4.3 beta capabilities, Neuralink advancements, and AI-driven universal income debates—without notable spikes or lulls over the past week. While overwhelming precursor counts cement the frontrunner, a realistic upset would require rare resolution disputes over post inclusions or uncounted replies, though traders see negligible risk given verified tallies and historical counting precedents.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$13,942,624
結束日期
2026-04-17
市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月10日至4月17日？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "300-319" at 100%, followed by "少於20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月10日至4月17日？" has generated $13.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月10日至4月17日？," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月10日至4月17日？" is "300-319" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "少於20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月10日至4月17日？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.