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icon for 唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年7月14日至7月21日?

唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年7月14日至7月21日?

icon for 唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年7月14日至7月21日?

唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年7月14日至7月21日?

100-119 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$61,124 交易量

100-119 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$61,124 交易量

<20

$1,937 交易量

No

20-39

$1,365 交易量

No

40-59

$11,524 交易量

No

60-79

$8,118 交易量

No

80-99

$4,496 交易量

No

100-119

$7,425 交易量

Yes

120-139

$6,716 交易量

No

140-159

$4,214 交易量

No

160-179

$3,114 交易量

No

180-199

$5,088 交易量

No

200+

$7,126 交易量

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 14, 12:00 PM ET and July 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established Truth Social activity, averaging 18-19 posts daily in 2025 and early 2026 for roughly 126-133 per week, forms the baseline for trader assessments of the July 14-21 period. Recent Iran-related military developments have produced short-term spikes, including days exceeding 30 posts, yet no major scheduled events or confirmed escalations currently align with the resolution window. The near-even distribution across 40-199 and 200+ buckets captures uncertainty over whether routine commentary, campaign updates, or breaking developments will push volume higher or keep it within historical norms.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 14, 12:00 PM ET and July 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$61,124
結束日期
2026-07-21
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 14, 12:00 PM ET and July 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 14, 12:00 PM ET and July 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established Truth Social activity, averaging 18-19 posts daily in 2025 and early 2026 for roughly 126-133 per week, forms the baseline for trader assessments of the July 14-21 period. Recent Iran-related military developments have produced short-term spikes, including days exceeding 30 posts, yet no major scheduled events or confirmed escalations currently align with the resolution window. The near-even distribution across 40-199 and 200+ buckets captures uncertainty over whether routine commentary, campaign updates, or breaking developments will push volume higher or keep it within historical norms.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 14, 12:00 PM ET and July 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$61,124
結束日期
2026-07-21
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 14, 12:00 PM ET and July 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年7月14日至7月21日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "100-119" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年7月14日至7月21日?" has generated $61.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年7月14日至7月21日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年7月14日至7月21日?" is "100-119" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年7月14日至7月21日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.