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icon for 唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月18日至8月25日?

唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月18日至8月25日?

icon for 唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月18日至8月25日?

唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月18日至8月25日?

200+ 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$60,364 交易量

200+ 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$60,364 交易量

<20

$9,792 交易量

No

20-39

$2,667 交易量

No

40-59

$2,751 交易量

No

60-79

$2,480 交易量

No

80-99

$3,355 交易量

No

100-119

$5,082 交易量

No

120-139

$5,117 交易量

No

140-159

$3,701 交易量

No

160-179

$5,845 交易量

No

180-199

$8,345 交易量

No

200+

$11,229 交易量

Yes

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump maintains an elevated Truth Social posting pace as president, averaging 19–22 main-feed items daily in 2026, with frequent late-night bursts, quote posts, and reposts that accumulate rapidly during periods of active policy engagement. The August 18–25 window coincides with ongoing foreign-policy developments, tariff adjustments, FDA nominations, and domestic political messaging, all of which have historically driven clusters of activity well above baseline levels and pushed weekly totals into the 200+ range. Trader consensus at 100% for 200+ reflects this established pattern and near-completion of the resolution window. Only an abrupt, sustained halt in output—such as from unforeseen health developments or a deliberate reduction in platform use—could realistically prevent resolution in that band.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$60,364
結束日期
2026-08-25
市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump maintains an elevated Truth Social posting pace as president, averaging 19–22 main-feed items daily in 2026, with frequent late-night bursts, quote posts, and reposts that accumulate rapidly during periods of active policy engagement. The August 18–25 window coincides with ongoing foreign-policy developments, tariff adjustments, FDA nominations, and domestic political messaging, all of which have historically driven clusters of activity well above baseline levels and pushed weekly totals into the 200+ range. Trader consensus at 100% for 200+ reflects this established pattern and near-completion of the resolution window. Only an abrupt, sustained halt in output—such as from unforeseen health developments or a deliberate reduction in platform use—could realistically prevent resolution in that band.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$60,364
結束日期
2026-08-25
市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月18日至8月25日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "200+" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月18日至8月25日?" has generated $60.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月18日至8月25日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月18日至8月25日?" is "200+" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月18日至8月25日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.