Traders assign near-certainty to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026, consistent with his established pattern of high-volume platform activity during periods of sustained political engagement. Routine commentary on policy developments, election-related topics, and direct supporter outreach have historically supported elevated posting rates, particularly when news cycles intensify. This implied probability reflects crowd-sourced assessment of his consistent output volume rather than any single event. Lower totals remain possible if external developments remain limited or his public schedule reduces the frequency of new statements within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於200+ 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$100,667 交易量
$100,667 交易量
2026-08-21
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200+
Yes
200+ 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$100,667 交易量
$100,667 交易量
2026-08-21
<20
$2,255 交易量
No
20-39
$417 交易量
No
40-59
$5,987 交易量
No
60-79
$15,726 交易量
No
80-99
$21,944 交易量
No
100-119
$6,589 交易量
No
120-139
$8,480 交易量
No
140-159
$7,505 交易量
No
160-179
$6,608 交易量
No
180-199
$7,972 交易量
No
200+
$17,183 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign near-certainty to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026, consistent with his established pattern of high-volume platform activity during periods of sustained political engagement. Routine commentary on policy developments, election-related topics, and direct supporter outreach have historically supported elevated posting rates, particularly when news cycles intensify. This implied probability reflects crowd-sourced assessment of his consistent output volume rather than any single event. Lower totals remain possible if external developments remain limited or his public schedule reduces the frequency of new statements within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$100,667結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign near-certainty to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026, consistent with his established pattern of high-volume platform activity during periods of sustained political engagement. Routine commentary on policy developments, election-related topics, and direct supporter outreach have historically supported elevated posting rates, particularly when news cycles intensify. This implied probability reflects crowd-sourced assessment of his consistent output volume rather than any single event. Lower totals remain possible if external developments remain limited or his public schedule reduces the frequency of new statements within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$100,667結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Traders assign near-certainty to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026, consistent with his established pattern of high-volume platform activity during periods of sustained political engagement. Routine commentary on policy developments, election-related topics, and direct supporter outreach have historically supported elevated posting rates, particularly when news cycles intensify. This implied probability reflects crowd-sourced assessment of his consistent output volume rather than any single event. Lower totals remain possible if external developments remain limited or his public schedule reduces the frequency of new statements within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions