The Bureau of Economic Analysis release on August 26 confirmed July 2026 core PCE rose 0.2% month-over-month, exactly matching consensus forecasts and extending the prior month’s 0.1% pace while holding the year-over-year rate steady at 3.3%. Services price pressures offset goods deflation, producing the precise outcome that had been priced in ahead of the report. With the data now public and aligned to the median economist estimate, trader consensus reflects near-certainty around the 0.2% print. Only subsequent benchmark revisions—typically minor and released months later—or an unprecedented statistical error could alter the recorded figure before market resolution.