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icon for 庫克羣島議會選舉： Ngatangiia贏家
政治·紐西蘭

庫克羣島議會選舉： Ngatangiia贏家

icon for 庫克羣島議會選舉： Ngatangiia贏家
政治·紐西蘭

庫克羣島議會選舉： Ngatangiia贏家

Tukaka George Tamarua Ama 98.4%

Mapi Ioteva 3.0%

克里斯托弗·羅伯特·丹尼 <1%

Itinga Maoate <1%

Polymarket

$36,766 交易量

Tukaka George Tamarua Ama 98.4%

Mapi Ioteva 3.0%

克里斯托弗·羅伯特·丹尼 <1%

Itinga Maoate <1%

Polymarket

$36,766 交易量

Tukaka George Tamarua Ama

$30,369 交易量

是

克里斯托弗·羅伯特·丹尼

$1,279 交易量

否

Mapi Ioteva

$3,915 交易量

否

Itinga Maoate

$1,204 交易量

否

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.Tukaka Ama secured the Ngatangiia seat for the Cook Islands Party in the August 12, 2026, general election with 272 votes to 241 for the Cook Islands United Party candidate, establishing a clear margin in final official tallies declared on August 26. Incumbency advantages from his 2022 victory, combined with the governing party's strong national performance that delivered it 13 seats and a fifth term, drove trader consensus toward his confirmation. The Democratic Party's collapse and limited support for minor candidates further consolidated the outcome. While petitions or recounts remain possible in this constituency due to its earlier closeness, such challenges have not materialized to date and would require substantial evidence to alter the certified result.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.

If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.
交易量
$36,766
結束日期
2026-08-12
市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 9:52 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.Tukaka Ama secured the Ngatangiia seat for the Cook Islands Party in the August 12, 2026, general election with 272 votes to 241 for the Cook Islands United Party candidate, establishing a clear margin in final official tallies declared on August 26. Incumbency advantages from his 2022 victory, combined with the governing party's strong national performance that delivered it 13 seats and a fifth term, drove trader consensus toward his confirmation. The Democratic Party's collapse and limited support for minor candidates further consolidated the outcome. While petitions or recounts remain possible in this constituency due to its earlier closeness, such challenges have not materialized to date and would require substantial evidence to alter the certified result.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.

If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.
交易量
$36,766
結束日期
2026-08-12
市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 9:52 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

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Frequently Asked Questions

"庫克羣島議會選舉： Ngatangiia贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tukaka George Tamarua Ama" at 100%, followed by "克里斯托弗·羅伯特·丹尼" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "庫克羣島議會選舉： Ngatangiia贏家" has generated $36.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "庫克羣島議會選舉： Ngatangiia贏家," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "庫克羣島議會選舉： Ngatangiia贏家" is "Tukaka George Tamarua Ama" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "克里斯托弗·羅伯特·丹尼" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "庫克羣島議會選舉： Ngatangiia贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.