Patrick Mahomes leads trader consensus at 43.5% implied probability to start under center for the Chiefs in Week 1 of 2026, but his torn ACL from December 2025 fuels widespread doubt about his readiness despite reports of ahead-of-schedule rehab and a February contract restructure freeing $43 million in cap space. Kansas City traded a 2027 sixth-round pick for Justin Fields from the Jets on March 16, positioning the mobile sixth-year QB as primary insurance and offseason reps leader per Andy Reid, boosting Fields to 26%. Joe Flacco's 31% reflects veteran backup appeal amid speculation, while Gardner Minshew's free-agency departure to 23% and practice-squad standout Chris Oladokun's 22.3% highlight a thin depth chart after the Chiefs' 6-11 2025 campaign. Reid's recent refusal to lock in Mahomes underscores the closely contested QB race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Chris Oladokun 26.0%
Gardner Minshew 5.0%
賈斯汀·菲爾茲 2%
Patrick Mahomes 0
$12,075 交易量
$12,075 交易量
Chris Oladokun
22%
Gardner Minshew
14%
賈斯汀·菲爾茲
26%
Patrick Mahomes
43%
Joe Flacco
31%
Chris Oladokun 26.0%
Gardner Minshew 5.0%
賈斯汀·菲爾茲 2%
Patrick Mahomes 0
$12,075 交易量
$12,075 交易量
Chris Oladokun
22%
Gardner Minshew
14%
賈斯汀·菲爾茲
26%
Patrick Mahomes
43%
Joe Flacco
31%
If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Dec 16, 2025, 2:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Patrick Mahomes leads trader consensus at 43.5% implied probability to start under center for the Chiefs in Week 1 of 2026, but his torn ACL from December 2025 fuels widespread doubt about his readiness despite reports of ahead-of-schedule rehab and a February contract restructure freeing $43 million in cap space. Kansas City traded a 2027 sixth-round pick for Justin Fields from the Jets on March 16, positioning the mobile sixth-year QB as primary insurance and offseason reps leader per Andy Reid, boosting Fields to 26%. Joe Flacco's 31% reflects veteran backup appeal amid speculation, while Gardner Minshew's free-agency departure to 23% and practice-squad standout Chris Oladokun's 22.3% highlight a thin depth chart after the Chiefs' 6-11 2025 campaign. Reid's recent refusal to lock in Mahomes underscores the closely contested QB race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions