Lula holds a commanding lead for first place in Sergipe's October 4 first round, reflecting the state's status as a consistent Workers' Party stronghold in Brazil's Northeast. Recent state-level polling, including Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys from August, placed the incumbent at 53-60% against Flávio Bolsonaro near 19-23%, with all other candidates in single digits. This positioning stems from sustained approval of Lula's administration in the region, around 60%, and voter preferences for PT-aligned social policies and regional development priorities. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural advantages, though late national developments such as shifts in turnout, candidate withdrawals, or unforeseen events could still alter outcomes in the remaining weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於盧拉 96.7%
克拉莉安娜·巴拉奧 1.3%
弗拉維奧·博爾索納羅 1.3%
赫茲·迪亞斯 <1%
$16,634 交易量
$16,634 交易量
2026-10-04
盧拉
97%
克拉莉安娜·巴拉奧
1%
弗拉維奧·博爾索納羅
1%
赫茲·迪亞斯
1%
雷南·桑托斯
1%
羅納多·卡亞多
1%
魯伊·科斯塔·皮門塔
1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
作家奧古斯托·庫里
<1%
獸醫威爾森·格拉西
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
澤馬
<1%
Samara
<1%
盧拉 96.7%
克拉莉安娜·巴拉奧 1.3%
弗拉維奧·博爾索納羅 1.3%
赫茲·迪亞斯 <1%
$16,634 交易量
$16,634 交易量
2026-10-04
盧拉
$8,854 交易量
97%
克拉莉安娜·巴拉奧
$1,174 交易量
1%
弗拉維奧·博爾索納羅
$837 交易量
1%
赫茲·迪亞斯
$593 交易量
1%
雷南·桑托斯
$571 交易量
1%
羅納多·卡亞多
$593 交易量
1%
魯伊·科斯塔·皮門塔
$599 交易量
1%
Edmilson Costa
$611 交易量
<1%
作家奧古斯托·庫里
$633 交易量
<1%
獸醫威爾森·格拉西
$641 交易量
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$539 交易量
<1%
澤馬
$520 交易量
<1%
Samara
$469 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding lead for first place in Sergipe's October 4 first round, reflecting the state's status as a consistent Workers' Party stronghold in Brazil's Northeast. Recent state-level polling, including Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys from August, placed the incumbent at 53-60% against Flávio Bolsonaro near 19-23%, with all other candidates in single digits. This positioning stems from sustained approval of Lula's administration in the region, around 60%, and voter preferences for PT-aligned social policies and regional development priorities. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural advantages, though late national developments such as shifts in turnout, candidate withdrawals, or unforeseen events could still alter outcomes in the remaining weeks.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
交易量
$16,634結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding lead for first place in Sergipe's October 4 first round, reflecting the state's status as a consistent Workers' Party stronghold in Brazil's Northeast. Recent state-level polling, including Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys from August, placed the incumbent at 53-60% against Flávio Bolsonaro near 19-23%, with all other candidates in single digits. This positioning stems from sustained approval of Lula's administration in the region, around 60%, and voter preferences for PT-aligned social policies and regional development priorities. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural advantages, though late national developments such as shifts in turnout, candidate withdrawals, or unforeseen events could still alter outcomes in the remaining weeks.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$16,634結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETLula holds a commanding lead for first place in Sergipe's October 4 first round, reflecting the state's status as a consistent Workers' Party stronghold in Brazil's Northeast. Recent state-level polling, including Quaest and Real Time Big Data surveys from August, placed the incumbent at 53-60% against Flávio Bolsonaro near 19-23%, with all other candidates in single digits. This positioning stems from sustained approval of Lula's administration in the region, around 60%, and voter preferences for PT-aligned social policies and regional development priorities. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural advantages, though late national developments such as shifts in turnout, candidate withdrawals, or unforeseen events could still alter outcomes in the remaining weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions