Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Santa Catarina first-round polls due to the state's consistent right-leaning electorate and strong alignment with Liberal Party (PL) positions on security, tax reduction, and institutional critiques. Multiple recent surveys, including Neokemp and Quaest releases from September and August 2026, show him at 45-55% support, roughly double the next candidate and far ahead of Lula or other right-wing names such as Zema and Caiado. Local party conventions and family endorsements have reinforced this positioning ahead of the October 4 vote. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include significant late vote fragmentation among conservative options or unexpected shifts in turnout among independents, though current polling margins indicate limited room for such movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於弗拉維奧·波索納羅 97.4%
澤馬 <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
赫茲·迪亞斯 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗拉維奧·波索納羅
97%
澤馬
1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
赫茲·迪亞斯
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
<1%
獸醫威爾遜·格拉西
<1%
薩馬拉
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
盧拉
<1%
作家奧古斯托·庫里
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
羅納爾多·卡亞多
<1%
弗拉維奧·波索納羅 97.4%
澤馬 <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
赫茲·迪亞斯 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗拉維奧·波索納羅
$1,925 交易量
97%
澤馬
$321 交易量
1%
Edmilson Costa
$321 交易量
<1%
赫茲·迪亞斯
$352 交易量
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
$352 交易量
<1%
獸醫威爾遜·格拉西
$352 交易量
<1%
薩馬拉
$422 交易量
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$422 交易量
<1%
Clariana Barao
$362 交易量
<1%
盧拉
$348 交易量
<1%
作家奧古斯托·庫里
$322 交易量
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$322 交易量
<1%
羅納爾多·卡亞多
$312 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Santa Catarina first-round polls due to the state's consistent right-leaning electorate and strong alignment with Liberal Party (PL) positions on security, tax reduction, and institutional critiques. Multiple recent surveys, including Neokemp and Quaest releases from September and August 2026, show him at 45-55% support, roughly double the next candidate and far ahead of Lula or other right-wing names such as Zema and Caiado. Local party conventions and family endorsements have reinforced this positioning ahead of the October 4 vote. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include significant late vote fragmentation among conservative options or unexpected shifts in turnout among independents, though current polling margins indicate limited room for such movement.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
交易量
$6,130結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Santa Catarina first-round polls due to the state's consistent right-leaning electorate and strong alignment with Liberal Party (PL) positions on security, tax reduction, and institutional critiques. Multiple recent surveys, including Neokemp and Quaest releases from September and August 2026, show him at 45-55% support, roughly double the next candidate and far ahead of Lula or other right-wing names such as Zema and Caiado. Local party conventions and family endorsements have reinforced this positioning ahead of the October 4 vote. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include significant late vote fragmentation among conservative options or unexpected shifts in turnout among independents, though current polling margins indicate limited room for such movement.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$6,130結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETFlavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Santa Catarina first-round polls due to the state's consistent right-leaning electorate and strong alignment with Liberal Party (PL) positions on security, tax reduction, and institutional critiques. Multiple recent surveys, including Neokemp and Quaest releases from September and August 2026, show him at 45-55% support, roughly double the next candidate and far ahead of Lula or other right-wing names such as Zema and Caiado. Local party conventions and family endorsements have reinforced this positioning ahead of the October 4 vote. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include significant late vote fragmentation among conservative options or unexpected shifts in turnout among independents, though current polling margins indicate limited room for such movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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