**Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 4 first round, with traders pricing his probability near 97 percent.** Recent state-level polling from early September shows him at 62 percent against Lula’s 18 percent and single-digit support for other registered candidates, reflecting the state’s longstanding alignment with the Liberal Party and Bolsonarista priorities on agribusiness, infrastructure, and federal environmental oversight. Flávio’s mid-September campaign stops in Boa Vista, including meetings with local producers and a motorcycle caravan, have reinforced visibility in this northern stronghold. Nationally the presidential contest remains close, yet Roraima’s voter base has shown limited movement despite ongoing investigations tied to the candidate. Late shifts could arise from major new legal developments or turnout surges among opposition-leaning groups, but current evidence points to sustained regional dominance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於弗拉維奧·博爾索納羅 97.3%
魯拉 2.0%
獸醫威爾森·格拉西 <1%
作家奧古斯托·庫里 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗拉維奧·博爾索納羅
97%
魯拉
2%
獸醫威爾森·格拉西
1%
作家奧古斯托·庫里
<1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
埃德米爾森·科斯塔
<1%
赫茲·迪亞斯
<1%
帕布羅·馬沙爾
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
<1%
羅納多·卡亞多
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
弗拉維奧·博爾索納羅 97.3%
魯拉 2.0%
獸醫威爾森·格拉西 <1%
作家奧古斯托·庫里 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗拉維奧·博爾索納羅
$3,612 交易量
97%
魯拉
$662 交易量
2%
獸醫威爾森·格拉西
$509 交易量
1%
作家奧古斯托·庫里
$565 交易量
<1%
Zema
$422 交易量
<1%
Clariana Barao
$498 交易量
<1%
埃德米爾森·科斯塔
$528 交易量
<1%
赫茲·迪亞斯
$492 交易量
<1%
帕布羅·馬沙爾
$448 交易量
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
$448 交易量
<1%
羅納多·卡亞多
$448 交易量
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$416 交易量
<1%
Samara
$418 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 4 first round, with traders pricing his probability near 97 percent.** Recent state-level polling from early September shows him at 62 percent against Lula’s 18 percent and single-digit support for other registered candidates, reflecting the state’s longstanding alignment with the Liberal Party and Bolsonarista priorities on agribusiness, infrastructure, and federal environmental oversight. Flávio’s mid-September campaign stops in Boa Vista, including meetings with local producers and a motorcycle caravan, have reinforced visibility in this northern stronghold. Nationally the presidential contest remains close, yet Roraima’s voter base has shown limited movement despite ongoing investigations tied to the candidate. Late shifts could arise from major new legal developments or turnout surges among opposition-leaning groups, but current evidence points to sustained regional dominance.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
交易量
$9,464結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 4 first round, with traders pricing his probability near 97 percent.** Recent state-level polling from early September shows him at 62 percent against Lula’s 18 percent and single-digit support for other registered candidates, reflecting the state’s longstanding alignment with the Liberal Party and Bolsonarista priorities on agribusiness, infrastructure, and federal environmental oversight. Flávio’s mid-September campaign stops in Boa Vista, including meetings with local producers and a motorcycle caravan, have reinforced visibility in this northern stronghold. Nationally the presidential contest remains close, yet Roraima’s voter base has shown limited movement despite ongoing investigations tied to the candidate. Late shifts could arise from major new legal developments or turnout surges among opposition-leaning groups, but current evidence points to sustained regional dominance.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$9,464結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET**Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 4 first round, with traders pricing his probability near 97 percent.** Recent state-level polling from early September shows him at 62 percent against Lula’s 18 percent and single-digit support for other registered candidates, reflecting the state’s longstanding alignment with the Liberal Party and Bolsonarista priorities on agribusiness, infrastructure, and federal environmental oversight. Flávio’s mid-September campaign stops in Boa Vista, including meetings with local producers and a motorcycle caravan, have reinforced visibility in this northern stronghold. Nationally the presidential contest remains close, yet Roraima’s voter base has shown limited movement despite ongoing investigations tied to the candidate. Late shifts could arise from major new legal developments or turnout surges among opposition-leaning groups, but current evidence points to sustained regional dominance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions