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icon for 巴西總統選舉第一輪：南裏奧格蘭德州第一名
選舉·主要選舉

巴西總統選舉第一輪：南裏奧格蘭德州第一名

icon for 巴西總統選舉第一輪：南裏奧格蘭德州第一名
選舉·主要選舉

巴西總統選舉第一輪：南裏奧格蘭德州第一名

弗拉維奧·博爾索納羅 89%

盧拉 12%

獸醫威爾遜·格拉西 1.1%

埃德米爾松·科斯塔 <1%

Polymarket

$22,203 交易量

弗拉維奧·博爾索納羅 89%

盧拉 12%

獸醫威爾遜·格拉西 1.1%

埃德米爾松·科斯塔 <1%

Polymarket

$22,203 交易量

icon for 弗拉維奧·博爾索納羅

弗拉維奧·博爾索納羅

$7,420 交易量

89%

icon for 盧拉

盧拉

$3,654 交易量

12%

icon for 獸醫威爾遜·格拉西

獸醫威爾遜·格拉西

$816 交易量

1%

icon for 埃德米爾松·科斯塔

埃德米爾松·科斯塔

$1,437 交易量

1%

icon for 澤馬

澤馬

$1,173 交易量

1%

icon for 羅納爾多·卡伊亞多

羅納爾多·卡伊亞多

$1,087 交易量

<1%

icon for 作家奧古斯托·庫瑞

作家奧古斯托·庫瑞

$1,437 交易量

<1%

icon for 克拉麗安娜·巴拉奧

克拉麗安娜·巴拉奧

$1,171 交易量

<1%

icon for 赫茲·迪亞斯

赫茲·迪亞斯

$493 交易量

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$858 交易量

<1%

icon for 雷南·桑托斯

雷南·桑托斯

$640 交易量

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$641 交易量

<1%

icon for 莎瑪拉

莎瑪拉

$1,376 交易量

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro holds a strong lead in Rio Grande do Sul first-round polling, with recent surveys from June through early September 2026 showing him ahead of or tied with incumbent President Lula at levels around 34-42% versus 28-40%. This positioning reflects sustained conservative support in the state, where right-leaning voters have favored PL-aligned candidates in recent cycles. Lula trails despite national name recognition, as state-specific samples indicate limited gains from PT messaging amid broader economic and regional dynamics. Other contenders, including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury, register in single digits or lower locally, limiting their path to first place. With the October 4 vote approaching, trader consensus aligns with these polling patterns showing a clear frontrunner in the state.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$22,203
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro holds a strong lead in Rio Grande do Sul first-round polling, with recent surveys from June through early September 2026 showing him ahead of or tied with incumbent President Lula at levels around 34-42% versus 28-40%. This positioning reflects sustained conservative support in the state, where right-leaning voters have favored PL-aligned candidates in recent cycles. Lula trails despite national name recognition, as state-specific samples indicate limited gains from PT messaging amid broader economic and regional dynamics. Other contenders, including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury, register in single digits or lower locally, limiting their path to first place. With the October 4 vote approaching, trader consensus aligns with these polling patterns showing a clear frontrunner in the state.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$22,203
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

相關

icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?

98%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

85%
icon for 弗拉維奧·波索納羅會在下一屆巴西總統大選中獲得來自巴拉那州的最多選票嗎？

弗拉維奧·波索納羅會在下一屆巴西總統大選中獲得來自巴拉那州的最多選票嗎？

95%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"巴西總統選舉第一輪：南裏奧格蘭德州第一名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "弗拉維奧·博爾索納羅" at 89%, followed by "盧拉" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "巴西總統選舉第一輪：南裏奧格蘭德州第一名" has generated $22.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "巴西總統選舉第一輪：南裏奧格蘭德州第一名," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "巴西總統選舉第一輪：南裏奧格蘭德州第一名" is "弗拉維奧·博爾索納羅" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "盧拉" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "巴西總統選舉第一輪：南裏奧格蘭德州第一名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.