Market icon
經濟艙·全球價格

墨西哥銀行5月份的決定

Market icon
經濟艙·全球價格

墨西哥銀行5月份的決定

5月 7

6月 25

5月 7

6月 25

維持不變 76%

降息 22%

上調 1.3%

Polymarket
最新

維持不變 76%

降息 22%

上調 1.3%

Polymarket
最新

降息

$2,280 交易量

18%

維持不變

$3,876 交易量

76%

上調

$2,693 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability of no change at Banxico's May 2026 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25-basis-point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid headline inflation rising to 4.6% year-over-year in mid-March, though core measures held steady. The split 3-2 Governing Board vote prioritized softening economic momentum—bolstered by upgraded 2026 GDP forecasts to 1.6%—over price pressures exceeding the 3% target midpoint. A 22.5% chance of further easing captures dovish momentum, while hikes at 1.3% appear negligible absent inflation acceleration. Key catalysts include late-April CPI data and labor metrics ahead of the May 7 decision.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$8,849
結束日期
2026-05-07
市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability of no change at Banxico's May 2026 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25-basis-point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid headline inflation rising to 4.6% year-over-year in mid-March, though core measures held steady. The split 3-2 Governing Board vote prioritized softening economic momentum—bolstered by upgraded 2026 GDP forecasts to 1.6%—over price pressures exceeding the 3% target midpoint. A 22.5% chance of further easing captures dovish momentum, while hikes at 1.3% appear negligible absent inflation acceleration. Key catalysts include late-April CPI data and labor metrics ahead of the May 7 decision.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$8,849
結束日期
2026-05-07
市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"墨西哥銀行5月份的決定" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "維持不變" at 76%, followed by "降息" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"墨西哥銀行5月份的決定" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "墨西哥銀行5月份的決定," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "墨西哥銀行5月份的決定" is "維持不變" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "降息" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "墨西哥銀行5月份的決定" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.