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icon for 阿西米·戈伊塔（ Assimi Goïta ）在擔任馬裏總統之前... ？
地緣政治·馬利

阿西米·戈伊塔（ Assimi Goïta ）在擔任馬裏總統之前... ？

icon for 阿西米·戈伊塔（ Assimi Goïta ）在擔任馬裏總統之前... ？
地緣政治·馬利

阿西米·戈伊塔（ Assimi Goïta ）在擔任馬裏總統之前... ？

最新
2026-12-31
Polymarket

$973 交易量

Polymarket

12月31日

$706 交易量

25%

6月30日

$267 交易量

42%

This market resolves to “Yes” if Assimi Goïta’s departure as President of Mali is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Assimi Goïta, the Government of Mali, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Goïta has ceased or will cease to hold the position of President of Mali. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to “Yes” if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Assimi Goïta, and the Government of Mali; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Assimi Goïta consolidated his position through a July 2025 law passed by the National Transitional Council that granted him a five-year presidential term, renewable indefinitely without elections, extending his mandate to at least 2030. All major executive and legislative roles remain under military control following the 2020–2021 coups. In April–May 2026, coordinated attacks by Tuareg separatists and JNIM insurgents killed the defense minister and targeted Goïta, prompting him to assume the defense portfolio himself while declaring the situation under control. These steps, alongside suspended political party activities and deepened Russian security ties, have reinforced junta stability amid ongoing Sahel conflict. No scheduled elections or transition timelines exist within the near term, limiting near-term removal risks.

This market resolves to “Yes” if Assimi Goïta’s departure as President of Mali is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The departure will be considered to be announced when Assimi Goïta, the Government of Mali, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Goïta has ceased or will cease to hold the position of President of Mali. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.

Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).

Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.

The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.

If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.

If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to “Yes” if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Assimi Goïta, and the Government of Mali; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$973
結束日期
2027-06-30
市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market resolves to “Yes” if Assimi Goïta’s departure as President of Mali is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Assimi Goïta, the Government of Mali, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Goïta has ceased or will cease to hold the position of President of Mali. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to “Yes” if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Assimi Goïta, and the Government of Mali; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves to “Yes” if Assimi Goïta’s departure as President of Mali is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Assimi Goïta, the Government of Mali, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Goïta has ceased or will cease to hold the position of President of Mali. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to “Yes” if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Assimi Goïta, and the Government of Mali; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Assimi Goïta consolidated his position through a July 2025 law passed by the National Transitional Council that granted him a five-year presidential term, renewable indefinitely without elections, extending his mandate to at least 2030. All major executive and legislative roles remain under military control following the 2020–2021 coups. In April–May 2026, coordinated attacks by Tuareg separatists and JNIM insurgents killed the defense minister and targeted Goïta, prompting him to assume the defense portfolio himself while declaring the situation under control. These steps, alongside suspended political party activities and deepened Russian security ties, have reinforced junta stability amid ongoing Sahel conflict. No scheduled elections or transition timelines exist within the near term, limiting near-term removal risks.

This market resolves to “Yes” if Assimi Goïta’s departure as President of Mali is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The departure will be considered to be announced when Assimi Goïta, the Government of Mali, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Goïta has ceased or will cease to hold the position of President of Mali. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.

Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).

Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.

The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.

If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.

If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to “Yes” if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Assimi Goïta, and the Government of Mali; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$973
結束日期
2027-06-30
市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market resolves to “Yes” if Assimi Goïta’s departure as President of Mali is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Assimi Goïta, the Government of Mali, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Goïta has ceased or will cease to hold the position of President of Mali. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to “Yes” if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Assimi Goïta, and the Government of Mali; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"阿西米·戈伊塔（ Assimi Goïta ）在擔任馬裏總統之前... ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "6月30日" at 42%, followed by "12月31日" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"阿西米·戈伊塔（ Assimi Goïta ）在擔任馬裏總統之前... ？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "阿西米·戈伊塔（ Assimi Goïta ）在擔任馬裏總統之前... ？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "阿西米·戈伊塔（ Assimi Goïta ）在擔任馬裏總統之前... ？" is "6月30日" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "12月31日" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "阿西米·戈伊塔（ Assimi Goïta ）在擔任馬裏總統之前... ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.