Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at 100% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing the week of March 23 in the $195-$200 range, driven by the share price's tight trading channel around $197 amid low intraday volatility and thin volume typical of late-week sessions. Absent major catalysts like earnings releases—last reported strong AWS revenue growth exceeding analyst estimates in February—or macroeconomic shocks, the stock remains anchored by solid e-commerce margins and cloud computing dominance. This positioning aligns with recent sector stability in consumer discretionary amid cooling inflation data. Realistic challenges include a surprise broad market selloff tied to hotter-than-expected CPI or geopolitical flare-ups pushing prices below $195 before Friday's close, though such tail risks appear minimal given current VIX levels around 14.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$195-$200 100.0%
低於 $185 <1%
$185-$190 <1%
$190-$195 <1%
$18,651 交易量
$18,651 交易量
Mar 27, 2026
低於 $185
否
$185-$190
否
$190-$195
否
$195-$200
是
$200-$205
否
$205-$210
否
$210-$215
否
215至220美元
否
$220-$225
否
$225-$230
否
>230美元
否
$195-$200 100.0%
低於 $185 <1%
$185-$190 <1%
$190-$195 <1%
$18,651 交易量
$18,651 交易量
Mar 27, 2026
低於 $185
$1,004 交易量
否
$185-$190
$1,446 交易量
否
$190-$195
$1,287 交易量
否
$195-$200
$3,501 交易量
是
$200-$205
$2,061 交易量
否
$205-$210
$1,990 交易量
否
$210-$215
$1,099 交易量
否
215至220美元
$1,970 交易量
否
$220-$225
$1,626 交易量
否
$225-$230
$1,587 交易量
否
>230美元
$1,080 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at 100% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing the week of March 23 in the $195-$200 range, driven by the share price's tight trading channel around $197 amid low intraday volatility and thin volume typical of late-week sessions. Absent major catalysts like earnings releases—last reported strong AWS revenue growth exceeding analyst estimates in February—or macroeconomic shocks, the stock remains anchored by solid e-commerce margins and cloud computing dominance. This positioning aligns with recent sector stability in consumer discretionary amid cooling inflation data. Realistic challenges include a surprise broad market selloff tied to hotter-than-expected CPI or geopolitical flare-ups pushing prices below $195 before Friday's close, though such tail risks appear minimal given current VIX levels around 14.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市場開放時間： Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
交易量
$18,651結束日期
Mar 27, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at 100% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing the week of March 23 in the $195-$200 range, driven by the share price's tight trading channel around $197 amid low intraday volatility and thin volume typical of late-week sessions. Absent major catalysts like earnings releases—last reported strong AWS revenue growth exceeding analyst estimates in February—or macroeconomic shocks, the stock remains anchored by solid e-commerce margins and cloud computing dominance. This positioning aligns with recent sector stability in consumer discretionary amid cooling inflation data. Realistic challenges include a surprise broad market selloff tied to hotter-than-expected CPI or geopolitical flare-ups pushing prices below $195 before Friday's close, though such tail risks appear minimal given current VIX levels around 14.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$18,651結束日期
Mar 27, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at 100% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing the week of March 23 in the $195-$200 range, driven by the share price's tight trading channel around $197 amid low intraday volatility and thin volume typical of late-week sessions. Absent major catalysts like earnings releases—last reported strong AWS revenue growth exceeding analyst estimates in February—or macroeconomic shocks, the stock remains anchored by solid e-commerce margins and cloud computing dominance. This positioning aligns with recent sector stability in consumer discretionary amid cooling inflation data. Realistic challenges include a surprise broad market selloff tied to hotter-than-expected CPI or geopolitical flare-ups pushing prices below $195 before Friday's close, though such tail risks appear minimal given current VIX levels around 14.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions