Trader consensus on the 94.8% “No” outcome stems primarily from the persistent gap between verified AI artwork auction results and the $10 million threshold, with the record still the $1.08 million paid for Ai-Da robot’s “AI God” portrait at Sotheby’s in late 2024. Recent dedicated sales, including Refik Anadol’s $277,200 top lot at Christie’s 2025 Augmented Intelligence auction, confirm steady but limited collector demand for generative or algorithmic pieces amid ongoing debates over authorship and training data. Cumulative results for projects like Botto exceed several million dollars only across many lower-priced works, while traditional blue-chip art continues to dominate high-end results. With months left in 2026 and no announced lots or breakthroughs positioned to close the gap, market-implied odds reflect realistic barriers to a sudden leap.