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icon for 第三大公司2026年12月底？
科技·大型科技公司

第三大公司2026年12月底？

icon for 第三大公司2026年12月底？
科技·大型科技公司

第三大公司2026年12月底？

9月 30

12月 31

9月 30

12月 31

Alphabet 59%

蘋果公司 24%

微軟 16%

英偉達 2.5%

Polymarket

$16,557 交易量

Alphabet 59%

蘋果公司 24%

微軟 16%

英偉達 2.5%

Polymarket

$16,557 交易量

icon for Alphabet

Alphabet

$3,902 交易量

59%

icon for 蘋果公司

蘋果公司

$4,951 交易量

24%

icon for 微軟

微軟

$1,356 交易量

16%

icon for 英偉達

英偉達

$2,572 交易量

3%

icon for 沙特阿美

沙特阿美

$802 交易量

1%

icon for 博通

博通

$807 交易量

1%

icon for SpaceX

SpaceX

$717 交易量

1%

icon for 特斯拉

特斯拉

$672 交易量

1%

icon for 亞馬遜

亞馬遜

$779 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Alphabet currently holds the market-implied lead at 59% to finish as the third-largest company by market capitalization at year-end 2026, reflecting its position just behind NVIDIA and Apple amid ongoing AI-driven gains. Google Cloud's accelerating revenue, Gemini model integrations, and search enhancements provide a competitive edge over peers like Microsoft and Amazon, whose lower odds align with slightly slower recent momentum in core AI infrastructure. Apple’s hardware cycle and Microsoft’s Azure growth remain key swing factors in the tightly contested field, while NVIDIA’s dominance keeps its own probability low. With only four months until resolution, upcoming earnings and any major AI capability demonstrations could shift trader consensus on these rankings.

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$16,557
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 8:19 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Alphabet currently holds the market-implied lead at 59% to finish as the third-largest company by market capitalization at year-end 2026, reflecting its position just behind NVIDIA and Apple amid ongoing AI-driven gains. Google Cloud's accelerating revenue, Gemini model integrations, and search enhancements provide a competitive edge over peers like Microsoft and Amazon, whose lower odds align with slightly slower recent momentum in core AI infrastructure. Apple’s hardware cycle and Microsoft’s Azure growth remain key swing factors in the tightly contested field, while NVIDIA’s dominance keeps its own probability low. With only four months until resolution, upcoming earnings and any major AI capability demonstrations could shift trader consensus on these rankings.

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$16,557
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 8:19 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"第三大公司2026年12月底？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alphabet" at 59%, followed by "蘋果公司" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "第三大公司2026年12月底？" has generated $16.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "第三大公司2026年12月底？," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "第三大公司2026年12月底？" is "Alphabet" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "蘋果公司" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "第三大公司2026年12月底？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.