Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Cal quarterback Fernando Mendoza as the 2026 NFL Draft's top pick at 95.1% implied probability, propelled by his breakout sophomore campaign featuring pinpoint accuracy, elite arm strength, and poise under pressure—highlighted by a 508-yard, five-touchdown dismantling of Texas that vaulted Cal into playoff contention. Early mock drafts from ESPN and The Athletic now slot him No. 1, reflecting his rapid ascent amid a thin 2026 QB class lacking a consensus superstar. Momentum from Cal's unbeaten start and Mendoza's low interception rate solidify his edge, though challengers like BYU's Spencer Fano (fresh off a Big 12 upset) or Georgia's Carson Beck could surge with Heisman-caliber runs, injuries, or transfer portal shocks shifting prospect hierarchies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於費爾南多·門多薩 95.1%
Spencer Fano 1.2%
LaNorris Sellers <1%
但丁·摩爾 <1%
$506,715 交易量
$506,715 交易量
費爾南多·門多薩
95%
Spencer Fano
1%
LaNorris Sellers
<1%
但丁·摩爾
<1%
Arvell Reese
<1%
卡森·貝克
<1%
Taylen Green
<1%
Cade Klubnik
<1%
Caleb Lomu
<1%
Ty Simpson
<1%
阿奇·曼寧
<1%
大衛·貝利
<1%
加勒特·納斯邁爾
<1%
Jayden Maiava
<1%
Matayo Uiagalelei
<1%
Francis Mauigoa
<1%
Kyron Drones
<1%
Aidan Chiles
<1%
Jalon Daniels
<1%
Rueben Bain Jr
<1%
米勒·莫斯
<1%
Caleb Downs
<1%
喬丹·泰森
<1%
Nico Iamaleava
<1%
Sam Leavitt
<1%
彼得·伍茲
<1%
T.J. Parker
<1%
索耶·羅伯遜
<1%
雷倫·威爾森
<1%
康納·維格曼
<1%
Cashius Howell
<1%
Drew Allar
<1%
Keldric Faulk
<1%
Kadyn Proctor
<1%
約翰·梅特爾
<1%
LT Overton
<1%
費爾南多·門多薩 95.1%
Spencer Fano 1.2%
LaNorris Sellers <1%
但丁·摩爾 <1%
$506,715 交易量
$506,715 交易量
費爾南多·門多薩
95%
Spencer Fano
1%
LaNorris Sellers
<1%
但丁·摩爾
<1%
Arvell Reese
<1%
卡森·貝克
<1%
Taylen Green
<1%
Cade Klubnik
<1%
Caleb Lomu
<1%
Ty Simpson
<1%
阿奇·曼寧
<1%
大衛·貝利
<1%
加勒特·納斯邁爾
<1%
Jayden Maiava
<1%
Matayo Uiagalelei
<1%
Francis Mauigoa
<1%
Kyron Drones
<1%
Aidan Chiles
<1%
Jalon Daniels
<1%
Rueben Bain Jr
<1%
米勒·莫斯
<1%
Caleb Downs
<1%
喬丹·泰森
<1%
Nico Iamaleava
<1%
Sam Leavitt
<1%
彼得·伍茲
<1%
T.J. Parker
<1%
索耶·羅伯遜
<1%
雷倫·威爾森
<1%
康納·維格曼
<1%
Cashius Howell
<1%
Drew Allar
<1%
Keldric Faulk
<1%
Kadyn Proctor
<1%
約翰·梅特爾
<1%
LT Overton
<1%
If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2025, 4:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Cal quarterback Fernando Mendoza as the 2026 NFL Draft's top pick at 95.1% implied probability, propelled by his breakout sophomore campaign featuring pinpoint accuracy, elite arm strength, and poise under pressure—highlighted by a 508-yard, five-touchdown dismantling of Texas that vaulted Cal into playoff contention. Early mock drafts from ESPN and The Athletic now slot him No. 1, reflecting his rapid ascent amid a thin 2026 QB class lacking a consensus superstar. Momentum from Cal's unbeaten start and Mendoza's low interception rate solidify his edge, though challengers like BYU's Spencer Fano (fresh off a Big 12 upset) or Georgia's Carson Beck could surge with Heisman-caliber runs, injuries, or transfer portal shocks shifting prospect hierarchies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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