Arizona's slight edge over Michigan and Duke in trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament reflects their top-tier 2025 recruiting classes—Arizona third nationally with elite guards, Michigan boosted by Dusty May's FAU blueprint and portal additions, and Duke's No. 1 haul headlined by five-star talents—yet the 4% spread underscores deep parity. Transfer portal fluidity, one-and-done freshmen integration risks, and coaching momentum keep probabilities bunched, as Houston's defensive pedigree and Illinois' Big Ten depth vie closely. Early sentiment hinges on unproven rosters amid NIL-driven talent wars, with non-conference schedules poised to widen gaps before March.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於亞利桑那 21.6%
密西根 21%
杜克 18%
休士頓 12%
$19,943,152 交易量
$19,943,152 交易量
亞利桑那
22%
密西根
21%
杜克
18%
休士頓
12%
伊利諾伊
6%
普渡大學
6%
愛荷華州立大學
4%
康乃狄克
3%
聖約翰大學
3%
密西根州立大學
2%
阿肯色
2%
內布拉斯加
1%
愛荷華
1%
田納西
1%
阿拉巴馬
1%
德州
<1%
亞利桑那 21.6%
密西根 21%
杜克 18%
休士頓 12%
$19,943,152 交易量
$19,943,152 交易量
亞利桑那
22%
密西根
21%
杜克
18%
休士頓
12%
伊利諾伊
6%
普渡大學
6%
愛荷華州立大學
4%
康乃狄克
3%
聖約翰大學
3%
密西根州立大學
2%
阿肯色
2%
內布拉斯加
1%
愛荷華
1%
田納西
1%
阿拉巴馬
1%
德州
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
市場開放時間: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's slight edge over Michigan and Duke in trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament reflects their top-tier 2025 recruiting classes—Arizona third nationally with elite guards, Michigan boosted by Dusty May's FAU blueprint and portal additions, and Duke's No. 1 haul headlined by five-star talents—yet the 4% spread underscores deep parity. Transfer portal fluidity, one-and-done freshmen integration risks, and coaching momentum keep probabilities bunched, as Houston's defensive pedigree and Illinois' Big Ten depth vie closely. Early sentiment hinges on unproven rosters amid NIL-driven talent wars, with non-conference schedules poised to widen gaps before March.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions