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運動·NCAA

2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍

Market icon
運動·NCAA

2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍

亞利桑那 25.7%

密西根 22%

杜克 18%

伊利諾伊 12.6%

Polymarket

$20,674,588 交易量

亞利桑那 25.7%

密西根 22%

杜克 18%

伊利諾伊 12.6%

Polymarket

$20,674,588 交易量

亞利桑那

$998,404 交易量

26%

密西根

$848,318 交易量

22%

杜克

$786,179 交易量

18%

伊利諾伊

$1,208,820 交易量

13%

普渡大學

$3,154,001 交易量

7%

愛荷華州立大學

$2,492,186 交易量

5%

康乃狄克

$2,187,606 交易量

3%

密西根州立大學

$819,648 交易量

3%

聖約翰大學

$776,739 交易量

2%

愛荷華

$913,343 交易量

2%

田納西

$922,345 交易量

1%

阿拉巴馬

$815,074 交易量

1%

休士頓

$785,584 交易量

<1%

阿肯色

$887,732 交易量

<1%

內布拉斯加

$827,190 交易量

<1%

德州

$761,698 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Trader consensus on the 2026 NCAA Tournament winner prices Arizona, Michigan, and Duke closely together around 20% implied probabilities, reflecting intense parity driven by elite 2025 recruiting classes and transfer portal hauls in the NIL era. Arizona leads narrowly thanks to Tommy Lloyd's March Madness pedigree and recent commitments from top-20 prospects like five-star wing Joson Sanon, bolstering a deep Big 12 roster. Michigan's rapid rise stems from Dusty May's staff luring blue-chip guards and forwards post-transfer window, positioning them strongly in the loaded Big Ten. Duke stays competitive with Jon Scheyer's relentless pipeline despite one-and-done losses, as recent high school signing period flips kept the top tier bunched amid widespread roster turnover across power conferences.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
交易量
$20,674,588
結束日期
Apr 4, 2026
市場開放時間
Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

已提議結果: 否

爭議期

最終

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Trader consensus on the 2026 NCAA Tournament winner prices Arizona, Michigan, and Duke closely together around 20% implied probabilities, reflecting intense parity driven by elite 2025 recruiting classes and transfer portal hauls in the NIL era. Arizona leads narrowly thanks to Tommy Lloyd's March Madness pedigree and recent commitments from top-20 prospects like five-star wing Joson Sanon, bolstering a deep Big 12 roster. Michigan's rapid rise stems from Dusty May's staff luring blue-chip guards and forwards post-transfer window, positioning them strongly in the loaded Big Ten. Duke stays competitive with Jon Scheyer's relentless pipeline despite one-and-done losses, as recent high school signing period flips kept the top tier bunched amid widespread roster turnover across power conferences.

Trader consensus on the 2026 NCAA Tournament winner prices Arizona, Michigan, and Duke closely together around 20% implied probabilities, reflecting intense parity driven by elite 2025 recruiting classes and transfer portal hauls in the NIL era. Arizona leads narrowly thanks to Tommy Lloyd's March Madness pedigree and recent commitments from top-20 prospects like five-star wing Joson Sanon, bolstering a deep Big 12 roster. Michigan's rapid rise stems from Dusty May's staff luring blue-chip guards and forwards post-transfer window, positioning them strongly in the loaded Big Ten. Duke stays competitive with Jon Scheyer's relentless pipeline despite one-and-done losses, as recent high school signing period flips kept the top tier bunched amid widespread roster turnover across power conferences.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 70+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "亞利桑那" at 26%, followed by "密西根" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍" has generated $20.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍," browse the 70+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍" is "亞利桑那" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "密西根" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.