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運動·NCAA

2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍

Market icon
運動·NCAA

2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍

亞利桑那 27.1%

密西根 21%

杜克 17%

伊利諾伊 13.5%

Polymarket

$20,992,454 交易量

亞利桑那 27.1%

密西根 21%

杜克 17%

伊利諾伊 13.5%

Polymarket

$20,992,454 交易量

亞利桑那

$1,014,604 交易量

27%

密西根

$872,655 交易量

21%

杜克

$796,742 交易量

17%

伊利諾伊

$1,242,809 交易量

13%

普渡大學

$3,232,001 交易量

7%

愛荷華州立大學

$2,511,031 交易量

4%

康乃狄克

$2,206,062 交易量

3%

密西根州立大學

$842,169 交易量

3%

聖約翰大學

$787,390 交易量

2%

愛荷華

$931,372 交易量

2%

田納西

$954,244 交易量

1%

阿拉巴馬

$838,225 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Arizona leads trader consensus at 27% implied probability to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament, with Michigan (20.5%) and Duke (16.5%) keeping the top tier tightly bunched amid the fluid transfer portal window and 2025 recruiting class rankings still solidifying rosters for the 2025-26 season. Arizona's retention of rising star K.J. Lewis alongside top-10 commitments like Shelton Henderson positions them as the slight frontrunner, while Michigan's splashy hire of Dusty May from FAU—paired with portal additions like Nimari Burnett—fuels optimism for a Big Ten revival. Duke's elite incoming freshmen under Jon Scheyer maintain perennial contention, but the close odds underscore widespread uncertainty over returning production, NIL-driven roster turnover, bracket luck, and late-season tournament intangibles like injury avoidance and hot streaks in March Madness.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
交易量
$20,992,454
結束日期
Apr 4, 2026
市場開放時間
Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Arizona leads trader consensus at 27% implied probability to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament, with Michigan (20.5%) and Duke (16.5%) keeping the top tier tightly bunched amid the fluid transfer portal window and 2025 recruiting class rankings still solidifying rosters for the 2025-26 season. Arizona's retention of rising star K.J. Lewis alongside top-10 commitments like Shelton Henderson positions them as the slight frontrunner, while Michigan's splashy hire of Dusty May from FAU—paired with portal additions like Nimari Burnett—fuels optimism for a Big Ten revival. Duke's elite incoming freshmen under Jon Scheyer maintain perennial contention, but the close odds underscore widespread uncertainty over returning production, NIL-driven roster turnover, bracket luck, and late-season tournament intangibles like injury avoidance and hot streaks in March Madness.

Arizona leads trader consensus at 27% implied probability to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament, with Michigan (20.5%) and Duke (16.5%) keeping the top tier tightly bunched amid the fluid transfer portal window and 2025 recruiting class rankings still solidifying rosters for the 2025-26 season. Arizona's retention of rising star K.J. Lewis alongside top-10 commitments like Shelton Henderson positions them as the slight frontrunner, while Michigan's splashy hire of Dusty May from FAU—paired with portal additions like Nimari Burnett—fuels optimism for a Big Ten revival. Duke's elite incoming freshmen under Jon Scheyer maintain perennial contention, but the close odds underscore widespread uncertainty over returning production, NIL-driven roster turnover, bracket luck, and late-season tournament intangibles like injury avoidance and hot streaks in March Madness.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 70+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "亞利桑那" at 27%, followed by "密西根" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍" has generated $21 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍," browse the 70+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍" is "亞利桑那" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "密西根" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.