2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍

Name: 2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍
Start: 2025-10-31T23:55:20.806Z
End: 2026-04-04T00:00:00.000Z

2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍 — 討論

nikolal · 2025-10-31T23:55:20.806Z

關於2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

運動·NCAA

2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍

密西根 21%

亞利桑那 19.7%

杜克 18%

佛羅里達 9.0%

$21,331,650 交易量

Apr 4, 2026

密西根

$598,516 交易量

21%

亞利桑那

$635,712 交易量

20%

杜克

$597,636 交易量

18%

佛羅里達

$615,602 交易量

休士頓

$491,438 交易量

伊利諾伊

$933,260 交易量

愛荷華州立大學

$1,732,807 交易量

普渡大學

$647,762 交易量

康乃狄克

$1,629,015 交易量

密西根州立大學

$573,824 交易量

阿肯色

$545,497 交易量

聖約翰大學

$497,710 交易量

岡薩加

$800,105 交易量

UCLA

$624,506 交易量

堪薩斯

$584,614 交易量

范德堡

$510,318 交易量

田納西

$603,991 交易量

維吉尼亞

$519,973 交易量

內布拉斯加

$464,810 交易量

阿拉巴馬

$516,050 交易量

<1%

邁阿密（佛羅里達）

$475,742 交易量

<1%

德州理工

$498,446 交易量

<1%

德州

$392,122 交易量

<1%

肯塔基

$413,646 交易量

<1%

愛荷華

$387,364 交易量

<1%

德州農工大學

$461,424 交易量

<1%

VCU

$397,365 交易量

<1%

TCU

$467,327 交易量

<1%

High Point

$369,721 交易量

<1%

路易斯維爾

$504,414 交易量

<1%

猶他州立大學

$410,442 交易量

<1%

密西根 21%

亞利桑那 19.7%

杜克 18%

佛羅里達 9.0%

$21,331,650 交易量

Apr 4, 2026

密西根

$598,516 交易量

21%

亞利桑那

$635,712 交易量

20%

杜克

$597,636 交易量

18%

佛羅里達

$615,602 交易量

休士頓

$491,438 交易量

伊利諾伊

$933,260 交易量

愛荷華州立大學

$1,732,807 交易量

普渡大學

$647,762 交易量

康乃狄克

$1,629,015 交易量

密西根州立大學

$573,824 交易量

阿肯色

$545,497 交易量

聖約翰大學

$497,710 交易量

岡薩加

$800,105 交易量

UCLA

$624,506 交易量

堪薩斯

$584,614 交易量

范德堡

$510,318 交易量

田納西

$603,991 交易量

維吉尼亞

$519,973 交易量

內布拉斯加

$464,810 交易量

阿拉巴馬

$516,050 交易量

<1%

邁阿密（佛羅里達）

$475,742 交易量

<1%

德州理工

$498,446 交易量

<1%

德州

$392,122 交易量

<1%

肯塔基

$413,646 交易量

<1%

愛荷華

$387,364 交易量

<1%

德州農工大學

$461,424 交易量

<1%

VCU

$397,365 交易量

<1%

TCU

$467,327 交易量

<1%

High Point

$369,721 交易量

<1%

路易斯維爾

$504,414 交易量

<1%

猶他州立大學

$410,442 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

Michigan leads trader consensus at 20.5% implied probability for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, fueled by its No. 1-ranked 2025 recruiting class under Dusty May, including five-star talents like Trey McNutt and Durral Brooks alongside key returners. Arizona (19.8%) and Duke (16.5%) trail closely, bolstered by their own top-five hauls—Koa Peat and Jalil Bethea, respectively—plus aggressive transfer portal moves retaining elite production. Florida's surge to 9.2% reflects Todd Golden's portal dominance and four-star signees, while Houston's defensive pedigree endures despite graduations. This parity stems from widespread recruiting parity, unresolved transfer impacts, and early-season variables like non-conference schedules, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing high-variance futures.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 21, 2026, 11:41 PM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 70+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "密西根" at 21%, followed by "亞利桑那" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍" has generated $21.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍," browse the 70+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍" is "密西根" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "亞利桑那" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $21.3 million traded on “2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 21¢ for "密西根" in the "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 21% chance that "密西根" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 21¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 79¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Apr 4, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍" market has an active community of 66 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍

2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍

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盤口背景

評論 (66)

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Frequently Asked Questions

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What does a price of 21¢ for "密西根" mean?

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