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2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

Market icon

2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

西班牙 15.8%

法國 13.6%

英格蘭 11.5%

阿根廷 9.2%

Polymarket

$498,060,434 交易量

西班牙 15.8%

法國 13.6%

英格蘭 11.5%

阿根廷 9.2%

Polymarket

$498,060,434 交易量

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西班牙

$8,729,307 交易量

16%

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法國

$7,180,895 交易量

14%

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英格蘭

$8,554,784 交易量

11%

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阿根廷

$8,183,398 交易量

9%

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巴西

$8,392,050 交易量

9%

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葡萄牙

$9,225,368 交易量

7%

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德國

$7,661,544 交易量

5%

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荷蘭

$9,757,867 交易量

3%

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挪威

$8,635,782 交易量

3%

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日本

$10,573,479 交易量

2%

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比利時

$8,325,949 交易量

2%

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摩洛哥

$10,098,673 交易量

2%

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哥倫比亞

$7,662,013 交易量

2%

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美國

$5,910,761 交易量

1%

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烏拉圭

$8,678,742 交易量

1%

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墨西哥

$7,410,905 交易量

1%

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克羅埃西亞

$8,336,627 交易量

1%

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瑞士

$9,180,567 交易量

1%

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厄瓜多

$9,503,315 交易量

1%

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土耳其

$1,122,628 交易量

1%

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塞內加爾

$9,068,105 交易量

1%

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瑞典

$906,253 交易量

1%

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加拿大

$12,166,716 交易量

1%

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奧地利

$11,109,414 交易量

1%

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南韓

$14,537,764 交易量

<1%

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波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納

$1,055,513 交易量

<1%

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巴拉圭

$12,639,204 交易量

<1%

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蘇格蘭

$12,858,513 交易量

<1%

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象牙海岸

$9,969,411 交易量

<1%

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埃及

$11,671,898 交易量

<1%

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加納

$11,248,551 交易量

<1%

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阿爾及利亞

$11,742,290 交易量

<1%

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突尼西亞

$12,038,280 交易量

<1%

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捷克

$436,198 交易量

<1%

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澳洲

$8,806,006 交易量

<1%

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沙烏地阿拉伯

$18,338,152 交易量

<1%

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紐西蘭

$18,036,089 交易量

<1%

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海地

$13,285,680 交易量

<1%

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約旦

$17,299,642 交易量

<1%

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庫拉索

$25,282,423 交易量

<1%

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伊朗

$12,309,012 交易量

<1%

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烏茲別克

$28,521,894 交易量

<1%

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巴拿馬

$1,910,551 交易量

<1%

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伊拉克

$2,553,366 交易量

<1%

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南非

$20,363,802 交易量

<1%

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剛果民主共和國

$2,351,762 交易量

<1%

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佛得角

$11,265,686 交易量

<1%

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卡達

$14,274,613 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 15.7% implied probability after topping UEFA qualifiers standings and advancing decisively, bolstered by their Euro 2024 triumph and depth in midfield with Yamal and Pedri. France (13.6%) and England (11.5%) trail closely, reflecting robust qualification campaigns amid Nations League draws pitting England against Spain in a tough group, while reigning champions Argentina (9.2%) hold firm despite Messi's advancing age and Brazil's (8.6%) inconsistencies. The race stays tight in the expanded 48-team field, with recent European playoffs delivering surprises like Cape Verde and Curaçao, balanced paths for top seeds until semifinals, and no dominant form post-qualifiers fueling uncertainty across contenders.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$498,060,434
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 15.7% implied probability after topping UEFA qualifiers standings and advancing decisively, bolstered by their Euro 2024 triumph and depth in midfield with Yamal and Pedri. France (13.6%) and England (11.5%) trail closely, reflecting robust qualification campaigns amid Nations League draws pitting England against Spain in a tough group, while reigning champions Argentina (9.2%) hold firm despite Messi's advancing age and Brazil's (8.6%) inconsistencies. The race stays tight in the expanded 48-team field, with recent European playoffs delivering surprises like Cape Verde and Curaçao, balanced paths for top seeds until semifinals, and no dominant form post-qualifiers fueling uncertainty across contenders.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$498,060,434
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "西班牙" at 16%, followed by "法國" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " has generated $498.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is "西班牙" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "法國" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.