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2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

Market icon

2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

西班牙 16.4%

法國 12.4%

英格蘭 12.3%

阿根廷 9.3%

Polymarket

$453,097,286 交易量

西班牙 16.4%

法國 12.4%

英格蘭 12.3%

阿根廷 9.3%

Polymarket

$453,097,286 交易量

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西班牙

$6,428,822 交易量

16%

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法國

$5,144,548 交易量

12%

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英格蘭

$7,235,503 交易量

12%

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阿根廷

$7,309,907 交易量

9%

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巴西

$6,807,242 交易量

9%

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葡萄牙

$8,425,210 交易量

7%

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德國

$6,989,291 交易量

5%

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荷蘭

$9,339,078 交易量

3%

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挪威

$7,548,212 交易量

3%

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比利時

$7,684,704 交易量

2%

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哥倫比亞

$7,156,948 交易量

2%

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日本

$9,107,445 交易量

2%

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美國

$4,734,441 交易量

2%

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摩洛哥

$9,004,810 交易量

2%

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瑞士

$8,681,517 交易量

1%

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烏拉圭

$7,582,550 交易量

1%

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克羅埃西亞

$7,982,614 交易量

1%

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墨西哥

$6,793,220 交易量

1%

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厄瓜多

$9,034,280 交易量

1%

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塞內加爾

$8,319,133 交易量

1%

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AA隊

$311,200 交易量

1%

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加拿大

$11,888,877 交易量

1%

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奧地利

$10,509,410 交易量

1%

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南韓

$13,637,111 交易量

<1%

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巴拉圭

$11,792,679 交易量

<1%

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象牙海岸

$9,180,544 交易量

<1%

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埃及

$10,781,026 交易量

<1%

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加納

$10,348,438 交易量

<1%

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阿爾及利亞

$11,121,016 交易量

<1%

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蘇格蘭

$11,208,083 交易量

<1%

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突尼西亞

$11,308,112 交易量

<1%

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澳洲

$8,270,137 交易量

<1%

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沙烏地阿拉伯

$17,688,276 交易量

<1%

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海地

$12,590,483 交易量

<1%

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約旦

$16,620,057 交易量

<1%

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伊朗

$11,706,174 交易量

<1%

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巴拿馬

$1,589,686 交易量

<1%

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南非

$19,594,168 交易量

<1%

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佛得角

$10,615,655 交易量

<1%

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卡達

$13,515,036 交易量

<1%

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紐西蘭

$16,974,476 交易量

<1%

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庫拉索

$23,991,598 交易量

<1%

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烏茲別克

$27,626,680 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads trader consensus at 16.4% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, buoyed by their Euro 2024 triumph, a 31-match unbeaten streak (25 wins, 6 draws), and unmatched squad depth featuring Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Rodri, and Nico Williams under Luis de la Fuente. March qualifiers concluded with Spain topping Group E for direct qualification alongside France, England, and others, solidifying their momentum amid FIFA president Gianni Infantino naming them favorites. Yet France (12.4%), England (12.3%), Argentina (9.3%), and Brazil (8.6%) remain tightly bunched due to star power (Mbappé, Bellingham, Messi, Vinícius Jr.), recent qualifier dominance, and the expanded 48-team format's knockout volatility, keeping the race wide-open two months out.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$453,097,286
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads trader consensus at 16.4% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, buoyed by their Euro 2024 triumph, a 31-match unbeaten streak (25 wins, 6 draws), and unmatched squad depth featuring Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Rodri, and Nico Williams under Luis de la Fuente. March qualifiers concluded with Spain topping Group E for direct qualification alongside France, England, and others, solidifying their momentum amid FIFA president Gianni Infantino naming them favorites. Yet France (12.4%), England (12.3%), Argentina (9.3%), and Brazil (8.6%) remain tightly bunched due to star power (Mbappé, Bellingham, Messi, Vinícius Jr.), recent qualifier dominance, and the expanded 48-team format's knockout volatility, keeping the race wide-open two months out.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$453,097,286
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 45+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "西班牙" at 16%, followed by "法國" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " has generated $453.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 ," browse the 45+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is "西班牙" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "法國" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.