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2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

Market icon

2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

西班牙 16.3%

英格蘭 12.6%

法國 12.2%

阿根廷 9.4%

Polymarket

$449,819,166 交易量

西班牙 16.3%

英格蘭 12.6%

法國 12.2%

阿根廷 9.4%

Polymarket

$449,819,166 交易量

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西班牙

$6,276,369 交易量

16%

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英格蘭

$7,048,223 交易量

13%

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法國

$4,978,775 交易量

12%

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阿根廷

$7,177,397 交易量

9%

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巴西

$6,727,456 交易量

9%

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葡萄牙

$8,257,667 交易量

7%

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德國

$6,951,184 交易量

5%

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荷蘭

$9,296,695 交易量

3%

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挪威

$7,539,694 交易量

3%

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比利時

$7,663,888 交易量

2%

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哥倫比亞

$7,126,510 交易量

2%

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日本

$8,937,627 交易量

2%

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美國

$4,726,444 交易量

2%

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摩洛哥

$8,992,838 交易量

2%

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瑞士

$8,570,582 交易量

1%

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烏拉圭

$7,557,508 交易量

1%

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克羅埃西亞

$7,971,347 交易量

1%

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墨西哥

$6,767,292 交易量

1%

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厄瓜多

$8,894,155 交易量

1%

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塞內加爾

$8,273,790 交易量

1%

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AA隊

$283,571 交易量

1%

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加拿大

$11,842,056 交易量

1%

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奧地利

$10,326,739 交易量

1%

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南韓

$13,550,580 交易量

<1%

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巴拉圭

$11,743,576 交易量

<1%

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象牙海岸

$9,102,493 交易量

<1%

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埃及

$10,695,446 交易量

<1%

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加納

$10,283,001 交易量

<1%

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阿爾及利亞

$11,066,067 交易量

<1%

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蘇格蘭

$11,143,815 交易量

<1%

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突尼西亞

$11,260,706 交易量

<1%

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澳洲

$8,191,859 交易量

<1%

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沙烏地阿拉伯

$17,633,694 交易量

<1%

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紐西蘭

$16,832,784 交易量

<1%

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海地

$12,540,983 交易量

<1%

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約旦

$16,577,774 交易量

<1%

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庫拉索

$23,905,402 交易量

<1%

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伊朗

$11,534,987 交易量

<1%

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烏茲別克

$27,546,190 交易量

<1%

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巴拿馬

$1,556,297 交易量

<1%

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南非

$19,538,532 交易量

<1%

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佛得角

$10,553,481 交易量

<1%

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卡達

$13,453,866 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's trader consensus edge at 16.3% implied probability reflects their dramatic penalty shootout win over Netherlands in the UEFA World Cup 2026 playoff final on March 23, advancing after a 5-5 aggregate thriller and underscoring the resilience of Luis de la Fuente's young squad featuring Lamine Yamal and Pedri, alongside a favorable Group H draw. The tight clustering among top contenders—England (12.6%), France (12.2%), Argentina (9.4%), Brazil (8.8%)—stems from successful navigation of late-March qualifiers and intercontinental playoffs, with Argentina's emphatic 4-1 rout of Brazil on March 26 boosting defending champions' momentum despite Brazil's depth. The expanded 48-team format offers multiple knockout advancement paths, balanced by tricky group matchups like England's Group L with Croatia and France's Group I facing Senegal and Norway, fostering widespread trader uncertainty just months from the June kickoff.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$449,819,166
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's trader consensus edge at 16.3% implied probability reflects their dramatic penalty shootout win over Netherlands in the UEFA World Cup 2026 playoff final on March 23, advancing after a 5-5 aggregate thriller and underscoring the resilience of Luis de la Fuente's young squad featuring Lamine Yamal and Pedri, alongside a favorable Group H draw. The tight clustering among top contenders—England (12.6%), France (12.2%), Argentina (9.4%), Brazil (8.8%)—stems from successful navigation of late-March qualifiers and intercontinental playoffs, with Argentina's emphatic 4-1 rout of Brazil on March 26 boosting defending champions' momentum despite Brazil's depth. The expanded 48-team format offers multiple knockout advancement paths, balanced by tricky group matchups like England's Group L with Croatia and France's Group I facing Senegal and Norway, fostering widespread trader uncertainty just months from the June kickoff.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$449,819,166
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 45+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "西班牙" at 16%, followed by "英格蘭" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " has generated $449.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 ," browse the 45+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is "西班牙" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "英格蘭" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.