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2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

Market icon

2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

西班牙 15.8%

英格蘭 12.7%

法國 11.8%

阿根廷 9.7%

Polymarket

$438,145,263 交易量

西班牙 15.8%

英格蘭 12.7%

法國 11.8%

阿根廷 9.7%

Polymarket

$438,145,263 交易量

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西班牙

$5,961,177 交易量

16%

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英格蘭

$6,673,476 交易量

13%

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法國

$4,642,835 交易量

12%

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阿根廷

$6,961,506 交易量

10%

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巴西

$6,431,508 交易量

9%

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葡萄牙

$8,129,572 交易量

7%

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德國

$6,809,827 交易量

5%

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荷蘭

$9,021,222 交易量

3%

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挪威

$7,453,328 交易量

3%

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意大利

$7,967,098 交易量

3%

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比利時

$7,489,609 交易量

2%

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哥倫比亞

$7,100,680 交易量

2%

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美國

$4,668,802 交易量

2%

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摩洛哥

$8,887,449 交易量

2%

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日本

$8,616,290 交易量

1%

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烏拉圭

$7,399,037 交易量

1%

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墨西哥

$6,717,623 交易量

1%

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克羅埃西亞

$7,897,611 交易量

1%

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瑞士

$8,333,425 交易量

1%

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厄瓜多

$8,832,735 交易量

1%

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塞內加爾

$8,195,751 交易量

1%

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加拿大

$11,552,336 交易量

1%

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奧地利

$10,176,067 交易量

1%

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南韓

$13,338,802 交易量

<1%

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巴拉圭

$11,624,085 交易量

<1%

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象牙海岸

$8,965,700 交易量

<1%

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加納

$10,149,110 交易量

<1%

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阿爾及利亞

$10,956,678 交易量

<1%

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蘇格蘭

$11,036,458 交易量

<1%

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突尼西亞

$11,088,815 交易量

<1%

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澳洲

$8,120,814 交易量

<1%

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沙烏地阿拉伯

$17,525,442 交易量

<1%

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埃及

$10,405,520 交易量

<1%

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海地

$12,429,369 交易量

<1%

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約旦

$16,466,190 交易量

<1%

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伊朗

$11,433,269 交易量

<1%

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南非

$19,447,927 交易量

<1%

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佛得角

$10,444,794 交易量

<1%

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卡達

$11,469,010 交易量

<1%

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紐西蘭

$16,510,438 交易量

<1%

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庫拉索

$23,275,235 交易量

<1%

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烏茲別克

$27,296,679 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's trader consensus lead at 15.8% implied probability reflects their Euro 2024 triumph, world #1 ranking, and gritty advancement past Netherlands via penalties in the March 23 European playoff second leg (3-3 aggregate, 5-4 shootout), followed by a 3-0 friendly rout of Serbia. England (12.7%) and France (11.8%) stay close after dominant March results—England's 2-0 over Serbia, France's 4-0 thrashing of Ukraine and 2-1 friendly win versus Brazil featuring Mbappé—showcasing elite depth amid peaking club forms. Defending champions Argentina (9.7%) and Brazil (8.6%) remain competitive post-CONMEBOL qualification, but the 48-team expanded format, group stage advancements for top-two plus eight best thirds, and no decisive edges keep the race tightly contested among multiple powerhouses.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$438,145,263
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's trader consensus lead at 15.8% implied probability reflects their Euro 2024 triumph, world #1 ranking, and gritty advancement past Netherlands via penalties in the March 23 European playoff second leg (3-3 aggregate, 5-4 shootout), followed by a 3-0 friendly rout of Serbia. England (12.7%) and France (11.8%) stay close after dominant March results—England's 2-0 over Serbia, France's 4-0 thrashing of Ukraine and 2-1 friendly win versus Brazil featuring Mbappé—showcasing elite depth amid peaking club forms. Defending champions Argentina (9.7%) and Brazil (8.6%) remain competitive post-CONMEBOL qualification, but the 48-team expanded format, group stage advancements for top-two plus eight best thirds, and no decisive edges keep the race tightly contested among multiple powerhouses.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$438,145,263
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 43+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "西班牙" at 16%, followed by "英格蘭" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " has generated $438.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 ," browse the 43+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is "西班牙" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "英格蘭" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.