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2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

Market icon

2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

西班牙 15.7%

法國 13.7%

英格蘭 11.5%

阿根廷 9.2%

Polymarket

$498,191,881 交易量

西班牙 15.7%

法國 13.7%

英格蘭 11.5%

阿根廷 9.2%

Polymarket

$498,191,881 交易量

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西班牙

$8,743,049 交易量

16%

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法國

$7,191,773 交易量

14%

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英格蘭

$8,554,996 交易量

11%

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阿根廷

$8,185,487 交易量

9%

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巴西

$8,393,594 交易量

9%

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葡萄牙

$9,225,400 交易量

7%

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德國

$7,663,414 交易量

5%

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荷蘭

$9,757,919 交易量

3%

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挪威

$8,644,091 交易量

3%

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日本

$10,576,396 交易量

2%

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比利時

$8,326,152 交易量

2%

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摩洛哥

$10,098,673 交易量

2%

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哥倫比亞

$7,662,738 交易量

2%

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美國

$5,910,761 交易量

1%

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烏拉圭

$8,678,742 交易量

1%

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墨西哥

$7,410,913 交易量

1%

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克羅埃西亞

$8,336,627 交易量

1%

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瑞士

$9,180,582 交易量

1%

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厄瓜多

$9,503,315 交易量

1%

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土耳其

$1,122,628 交易量

1%

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塞內加爾

$9,074,396 交易量

1%

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瑞典

$906,253 交易量

1%

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加拿大

$12,166,787 交易量

1%

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奧地利

$11,109,849 交易量

1%

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南韓

$14,539,534 交易量

<1%

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波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納

$1,056,745 交易量

<1%

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巴拉圭

$12,641,140 交易量

<1%

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蘇格蘭

$12,861,112 交易量

<1%

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象牙海岸

$9,972,360 交易量

<1%

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埃及

$11,674,479 交易量

<1%

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加納

$11,250,563 交易量

<1%

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阿爾及利亞

$11,744,967 交易量

<1%

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突尼西亞

$12,040,311 交易量

<1%

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捷克

$437,352 交易量

<1%

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澳洲

$8,808,067 交易量

<1%

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沙烏地阿拉伯

$18,339,523 交易量

<1%

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紐西蘭

$18,037,075 交易量

<1%

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海地

$13,286,750 交易量

<1%

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約旦

$17,303,068 交易量

<1%

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庫拉索

$25,284,060 交易量

<1%

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伊朗

$12,310,873 交易量

<1%

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烏茲別克

$28,524,620 交易量

<1%

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巴拿馬

$1,911,881 交易量

<1%

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伊拉克

$2,554,197 交易量

<1%

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南非

$20,365,196 交易量

<1%

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剛果民主共和國

$2,353,258 交易量

<1%

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佛得角

$11,268,190 交易量

<1%

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卡達

$14,288,330 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 15.7% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, buoyed by their dominant European qualifiers and Euro 2024 triumph, showcasing a youthful squad led by talents like Lamine Yamal amid flawless recent form. France trails closely at 13.6% after surging to FIFA's No. 1 ranking and a 2-1 friendly victory over Brazil last week, with Kylian Mbappé recovered from knee issues. England (11.5%), defending champions Argentina (9.3%), and Brazil (8.6%) remain tightly bunched due to deep talent pools, historical pedigree, and strong qualification paths, though Brazil's odds softened from Rodrygo's ACL injury and Raphinha's recent knock in March friendlies. The March playoffs confirming all 48 teams and the final draw have intensified a hyper-competitive landscape with no runaway favorite.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$498,191,881
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 15.7% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, buoyed by their dominant European qualifiers and Euro 2024 triumph, showcasing a youthful squad led by talents like Lamine Yamal amid flawless recent form. France trails closely at 13.6% after surging to FIFA's No. 1 ranking and a 2-1 friendly victory over Brazil last week, with Kylian Mbappé recovered from knee issues. England (11.5%), defending champions Argentina (9.3%), and Brazil (8.6%) remain tightly bunched due to deep talent pools, historical pedigree, and strong qualification paths, though Brazil's odds softened from Rodrygo's ACL injury and Raphinha's recent knock in March friendlies. The March playoffs confirming all 48 teams and the final draw have intensified a hyper-competitive landscape with no runaway favorite.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$498,191,881
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "西班牙" at 16%, followed by "法國" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " has generated $498.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is "西班牙" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "法國" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.