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2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

Market icon

2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

西班牙 15.8%

法國 13.5%

英格蘭 11.5%

阿根廷 9.3%

Polymarket

$485,435,865 交易量

西班牙 15.8%

法國 13.5%

英格蘭 11.5%

阿根廷 9.3%

Polymarket

$485,435,865 交易量

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西班牙

$7,980,466 交易量

16%

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法國

$6,369,590 交易量

13%

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英格蘭

$7,695,154 交易量

11%

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阿根廷

$7,977,659 交易量

9%

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巴西

$8,138,776 交易量

9%

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葡萄牙

$8,985,258 交易量

7%

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德國

$7,308,403 交易量

5%

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荷蘭

$9,640,213 交易量

3%

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挪威

$7,831,345 交易量

3%

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比利時

$8,262,624 交易量

2%

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日本

$9,822,059 交易量

2%

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摩洛哥

$9,964,609 交易量

2%

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哥倫比亞

$7,594,456 交易量

2%

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美國

$4,912,996 交易量

1%

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烏拉圭

$8,434,614 交易量

1%

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墨西哥

$7,267,427 交易量

1%

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克羅埃西亞

$8,212,090 交易量

1%

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瑞士

$9,107,759 交易量

1%

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厄瓜多

$9,342,553 交易量

1%

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土耳其

$1,011,711 交易量

1%

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塞內加爾

$8,988,534 交易量

1%

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瑞典

$757,587 交易量

1%

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加拿大

$12,079,150 交易量

1%

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奧地利

$11,021,547 交易量

1%

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南韓

$14,128,839 交易量

<1%

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波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納

$870,277 交易量

<1%

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巴拉圭

$12,428,721 交易量

<1%

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蘇格蘭

$12,652,709 交易量

<1%

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象牙海岸

$9,786,164 交易量

<1%

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埃及

$11,457,716 交易量

<1%

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加納

$11,055,785 交易量

<1%

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阿爾及利亞

$11,565,293 交易量

<1%

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突尼西亞

$11,852,830 交易量

<1%

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捷克

$298,512 交易量

<1%

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澳洲

$8,649,255 交易量

<1%

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沙烏地阿拉伯

$18,167,734 交易量

<1%

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紐西蘭

$17,890,751 交易量

<1%

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海地

$13,064,092 交易量

<1%

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約旦

$17,093,639 交易量

<1%

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庫拉索

$25,083,411 交易量

<1%

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伊朗

$12,102,308 交易量

<1%

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烏茲別克

$28,273,808 交易量

<1%

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巴拿馬

$1,721,623 交易量

<1%

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伊拉克

$2,367,857 交易量

<1%

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南非

$20,119,371 交易量

<1%

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剛果民主共和國

$2,105,180 交易量

<1%

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佛得角

$11,042,943 交易量

<1%

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卡達

$14,033,879 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads trader consensus at 15.8% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, bolstered by their sustained dominance since Euro 2024 victory and top FIFA ranking, but the top five—Spain, France (13.5%), England (11.5%), Argentina (9.3%), and Brazil (8.6%)—remain tightly clustered within seven points amid the expanded 48-team field's knockout volatility. Recent March international break friendlies, including France's resilient 2-1 win over Brazil despite a red card, elevated Les Bleus while exposing Brazil's injury woes with Rodrygo's ACL tear ruling him out and doubts over Neymar and Raphinha. UEFA playoffs concluding March 31 finalized the field with qualifiers like Turkey and Sweden, yet Europe's depth and South America's setbacks keep the race intensely competitive ahead of the June group stage draw impacts.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$485,435,865
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads trader consensus at 15.8% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, bolstered by their sustained dominance since Euro 2024 victory and top FIFA ranking, but the top five—Spain, France (13.5%), England (11.5%), Argentina (9.3%), and Brazil (8.6%)—remain tightly clustered within seven points amid the expanded 48-team field's knockout volatility. Recent March international break friendlies, including France's resilient 2-1 win over Brazil despite a red card, elevated Les Bleus while exposing Brazil's injury woes with Rodrygo's ACL tear ruling him out and doubts over Neymar and Raphinha. UEFA playoffs concluding March 31 finalized the field with qualifiers like Turkey and Sweden, yet Europe's depth and South America's setbacks keep the race intensely competitive ahead of the June group stage draw impacts.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$485,435,865
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "西班牙" at 16%, followed by "法國" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " has generated $485.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is "西班牙" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "法國" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.