Spain's position as the top trader consensus at 16% implied probability stems from their ascent to No. 1 in the latest FIFA rankings after topping their UEFA group in March qualifiers, bolstered by Euro 2024 momentum and stars like Lamine Yamal driving a dynamic attack. France (12%) and England (12%) keep the race tight via direct qualification from dominant group wins, with deep squads featuring Mbappé, Bellingham, and Kane offsetting minor qualifier hiccups. Defending champions Argentina (9%) lead CONMEBOL standings despite Messi's age, while Brazil (9%) rebounded late; the expanded 48-team field, host advantages for USA/Canada/Mexico, and unresolved European playoffs heighten uncertainty among this bunched elite.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於西班牙 16.3%
英格蘭 12.6%
法國 12.3%
阿根廷 9.4%
$449,427,136 交易量
$449,427,136 交易量

西班牙
16%

英格蘭
13%

法國
12%

阿根廷
9%

巴西
9%

葡萄牙
7%

德國
5%

荷蘭
3%

挪威
3%

比利時
2%

哥倫比亞
2%

美國
2%

日本
2%

摩洛哥
2%

烏拉圭
1%

瑞士
1%

克羅埃西亞
1%

墨西哥
1%

厄瓜多
1%

塞內加爾
1%

AA隊
1%

加拿大
1%

奧地利
1%

南韓
<1%

巴拉圭
<1%

象牙海岸
<1%

埃及
<1%

加納
<1%

阿爾及利亞
<1%

蘇格蘭
<1%

突尼西亞
<1%

澳洲
<1%

沙烏地阿拉伯
<1%

海地
<1%

約旦
<1%

伊朗
<1%

巴拿馬
<1%

南非
<1%

佛得角
<1%

卡達
<1%

紐西蘭
<1%

庫拉索
<1%

烏茲別克
<1%
西班牙 16.3%
英格蘭 12.6%
法國 12.3%
阿根廷 9.4%
$449,427,136 交易量
$449,427,136 交易量

西班牙
16%

英格蘭
13%

法國
12%

阿根廷
9%

巴西
9%

葡萄牙
7%

德國
5%

荷蘭
3%

挪威
3%

比利時
2%

哥倫比亞
2%

美國
2%

日本
2%

摩洛哥
2%

烏拉圭
1%

瑞士
1%

克羅埃西亞
1%

墨西哥
1%

厄瓜多
1%

塞內加爾
1%

AA隊
1%

加拿大
1%

奧地利
1%

南韓
<1%

巴拉圭
<1%

象牙海岸
<1%

埃及
<1%

加納
<1%

阿爾及利亞
<1%

蘇格蘭
<1%

突尼西亞
<1%

澳洲
<1%

沙烏地阿拉伯
<1%

海地
<1%

約旦
<1%

伊朗
<1%

巴拿馬
<1%

南非
<1%

佛得角
<1%

卡達
<1%

紐西蘭
<1%

庫拉索
<1%

烏茲別克
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain's position as the top trader consensus at 16% implied probability stems from their ascent to No. 1 in the latest FIFA rankings after topping their UEFA group in March qualifiers, bolstered by Euro 2024 momentum and stars like Lamine Yamal driving a dynamic attack. France (12%) and England (12%) keep the race tight via direct qualification from dominant group wins, with deep squads featuring Mbappé, Bellingham, and Kane offsetting minor qualifier hiccups. Defending champions Argentina (9%) lead CONMEBOL standings despite Messi's age, while Brazil (9%) rebounded late; the expanded 48-team field, host advantages for USA/Canada/Mexico, and unresolved European playoffs heighten uncertainty among this bunched elite.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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