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2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

Market icon

2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

西班牙 16.3%

英格蘭 12.6%

法國 12.3%

阿根廷 9.4%

Polymarket

$449,427,136 交易量

西班牙 16.3%

英格蘭 12.6%

法國 12.3%

阿根廷 9.4%

Polymarket

$449,427,136 交易量

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西班牙

$6,268,750 交易量

16%

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英格蘭

$6,999,448 交易量

13%

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法國

$4,958,172 交易量

12%

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阿根廷

$7,153,333 交易量

9%

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巴西

$6,722,947 交易量

9%

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葡萄牙

$8,255,688 交易量

7%

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德國

$6,949,549 交易量

5%

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荷蘭

$9,290,831 交易量

3%

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挪威

$7,538,998 交易量

3%

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比利時

$7,662,223 交易量

2%

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哥倫比亞

$7,125,726 交易量

2%

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美國

$4,724,734 交易量

2%

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日本

$8,923,615 交易量

2%

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摩洛哥

$8,992,347 交易量

2%

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烏拉圭

$7,556,155 交易量

1%

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瑞士

$8,545,569 交易量

1%

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克羅埃西亞

$7,970,194 交易量

1%

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墨西哥

$6,767,292 交易量

1%

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厄瓜多

$8,890,807 交易量

1%

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塞內加爾

$8,270,639 交易量

1%

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AA隊

$281,433 交易量

1%

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加拿大

$11,833,104 交易量

1%

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奧地利

$10,317,864 交易量

1%

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南韓

$13,537,275 交易量

<1%

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巴拉圭

$11,733,003 交易量

<1%

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象牙海岸

$9,085,897 交易量

<1%

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埃及

$10,679,316 交易量

<1%

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加納

$10,268,235 交易量

<1%

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阿爾及利亞

$11,054,341 交易量

<1%

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蘇格蘭

$11,131,969 交易量

<1%

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突尼西亞

$11,251,391 交易量

<1%

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澳洲

$8,186,527 交易量

<1%

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沙烏地阿拉伯

$17,624,461 交易量

<1%

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海地

$12,532,550 交易量

<1%

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約旦

$16,571,913 交易量

<1%

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伊朗

$11,525,892 交易量

<1%

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巴拿馬

$1,556,297 交易量

<1%

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南非

$19,533,006 交易量

<1%

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佛得角

$10,546,913 交易量

<1%

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卡達

$13,442,455 交易量

<1%

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紐西蘭

$16,812,981 交易量

<1%

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庫拉索

$23,903,260 交易量

<1%

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烏茲別克

$27,534,949 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's position as the top trader consensus at 16% implied probability stems from their ascent to No. 1 in the latest FIFA rankings after topping their UEFA group in March qualifiers, bolstered by Euro 2024 momentum and stars like Lamine Yamal driving a dynamic attack. France (12%) and England (12%) keep the race tight via direct qualification from dominant group wins, with deep squads featuring Mbappé, Bellingham, and Kane offsetting minor qualifier hiccups. Defending champions Argentina (9%) lead CONMEBOL standings despite Messi's age, while Brazil (9%) rebounded late; the expanded 48-team field, host advantages for USA/Canada/Mexico, and unresolved European playoffs heighten uncertainty among this bunched elite.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$449,427,136
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's position as the top trader consensus at 16% implied probability stems from their ascent to No. 1 in the latest FIFA rankings after topping their UEFA group in March qualifiers, bolstered by Euro 2024 momentum and stars like Lamine Yamal driving a dynamic attack. France (12%) and England (12%) keep the race tight via direct qualification from dominant group wins, with deep squads featuring Mbappé, Bellingham, and Kane offsetting minor qualifier hiccups. Defending champions Argentina (9%) lead CONMEBOL standings despite Messi's age, while Brazil (9%) rebounded late; the expanded 48-team field, host advantages for USA/Canada/Mexico, and unresolved European playoffs heighten uncertainty among this bunched elite.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$449,427,136
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 45+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "西班牙" at 16%, followed by "英格蘭" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " has generated $449.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 ," browse the 45+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is "西班牙" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "英格蘭" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.