US-geo promotional popup. Variant sets the initial state (expanded vs minimized).

us_popup

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

Show BTC 15-minute up/down market in 3rd slot on homepage.

homepage_btc_15m_slot

signup_prompt

Show personalized Picked for You shelf on homepage

picked_for_you

Auto-redeem prompt for closed market positions

auto_redeem

Kill switch — when enabled, hides sponsor and cancel-sponsorship UI

disable_sponsor_markets

Route /search to the search ranking service

search_ranking

Route navbar search to the search ranking service

search_ranking_autocomplete

Route /search and navbar search to Shaped-backed /search-v3 (vs Typesense /search-v2).

search_v3

Enables the new contracts (PMCT) migration: post-migration modal, USDCe→pUSD wrap UI, new allowance reads/approvals, balance upgrade prompts, and the cancelled-orders portfolio tab.

enable_pmct_migration

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?

Will Trump say "N Word" in January?

Will Marvel Rivals win Best Game You Suck At in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $40-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 27?

Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?

Will Marty Supreme win Best Score at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on February 11?

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 12 above $310?

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 23?

Will the price of Solana be above $50 on February 24?

Will Trump's approval rating be at least 43.0 on January 9, 2026?

Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Will "Dave Chappelle: The Unstoppable" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 2 above $60?

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 22?

Will XRP dip to $1.60 January 26-1?

Will Google (GOOGL) close at $330-$335 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Will Donald Trump attend the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?

Will Aurora Grinden Lovas (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 16?

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on December 10?

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 20?

Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 9 above $245?

Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 22?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 8 be between 1,500,000 and 1,700,000?

Will Google (GOOGL) close at <$305 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 24?

lenderbook

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 24?

Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 22?

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Solana all time high by January 31?

Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $132-$134 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?

Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.0% in December?

Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 2?

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170-$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?

動態

授權代幣交易支出

部署智慧合約錢包以啟用交易

簽署訊息以生成您的 API 金鑰

啟用交易

資金已啟用

你的帳戶需要遷移到新錢包才能繼續交易。先部署新的存款錢包，然後把資金轉過去。

升級你的帳戶

請先啟用你的資金

遷移完成

錢包仍在部署中

轉帳未完成，請重試。

根據你的預測買“是”或“否”份額。賠率會隨著其他交易者的交易即時變動。

1. 選一個預測盤口

1.逛逛我們的預測盤口

用加密貨幣、簽帳金融卡或銀行轉賬給賬號充值，然後就可以開始交易。

2.投注

隨時賣掉你的“是”或“否”份額，或者等盤口封盤後，憑贏利的份額兌換 1 美元/份。註冊賬號，幾分鐘就能完成第一筆交易。

3.兌付

排行榜

你的會話需要重置才能進行交易。請登出然後重新登入。

連線問題

，並聲明你 (i) 不是美國人；(ii) 不在美國、法國或其他受限管轄區；(iii) 未使用 VPN 或其他方式規避限制。如果你不遵守這些條款，Polymarket 保留將你的錢包設為僅限關倉模式的權利。

在 Polymarket 上交易

，證明你不是美國居民，且不位於美國或任何受限地區。

如需繼續使用本網站的交易功能，請填寫

需要自我認證

，包括如果你認為收到此訊息是錯誤的。

由於可能違反我們的服務條款，你的帳戶已被設為僅限關倉模式。你可以關閉現有持倉，但無法開新倉。如需了解更多資訊，請聯繫

交易已暫停

以下地區無法進行交易。禁止使用任何手段規避或試圖規避這些限制。

僅查看模式

{count} 個訂單

贏了之後，獎金自動到賬。不需要手動操作。

自動兌換已關閉

自動兌換已開啟

自動兌換失敗

重新啟用自動兌換

自動兌換獎金

立即收款

出了點問題

你可以平掉這些已結算的持倉，確認最終虧損金額。

虧損的預測盤口

兌換失敗

此操作會合並所有符合條件的盤口持倉。

合併 ${amount} 持倉

您的獎金已準備就緒，繼續交易吧！

我剛在 @Polymarket 贏了 ${amount}！

快來和我一起，把你的預判變成真金白銀：

你的 Polymarket 錢包地址

我剛在 @Polymarket 上交易了。

來跟我對賭：

來看看我在 @Polymarket 上的盈虧吧。

來看看我在 @Polymarket 上的資料吧。

來看看 @Polymarket 上的這筆交易。

把 1 份“是”和 1 份“否”合併成 1 USDC。不想持倉時，這麼做能省成本。

合併份額

訂單簿

重大價格滑點

把 1 USDC 拆成 1 份“是”和 1  份“否”。這麼做能省成本，方法是先都買了，再賣掉另一邊就行

拆分份額

交易即表示你同意本使用條款，包括你不是 (i) 美國人且 (ii) 不在美國、法國或其他受限地區。

若要開始使用升級後的系統交易,請在錢包中核准遷移。這是一次性操作。

完成遷移

你的 USDC.e 將以 1:1 比例轉換為 pUSD。零手續費,涵蓋所有持倉,可全額贖回。

餘額遷移

請登入你的帳戶,讓我們遷移你的餘額並核准新合約。

請登入以繼續

你的餘額與持倉已完成遷移。一切就緒。

我們在底層做了一些調整,讓交易更穩定可靠。