Name: What will Bill Clinton say during DNC speech?
Start: 2024-08-21T16:43:01.08754Z
End: 2024-08-21T12:00:00Z

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This is a market on predicting the content of Tim Walz's speech at the Democratic National Convention.

Bill Clinton is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clinton says "Israel" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Clinton does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Israel" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Middle Eastern country.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Israel

Bill Clinton is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clinton says "Hillary" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Clinton does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Hillary" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Hillary Clinton.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Hillary

Bill Clinton is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clinton says "Monica" or "Lewinsky" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Clinton does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Monica" or "Lewinsky" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Monica Lewinsky.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Monica Lewinsky

Bill Clinton is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clinton says "Donald" or "Trump" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Clinton does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as  "Donald" or "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Donald Trump.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Donald Trump

Bill Clinton is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clinton says "Obama" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Clinton does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Obama" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a member of the Obama family.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Obama

Bill Clinton is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clinton says "Chelsea" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Clinton does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as  "Chelsea" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Chelsea Clinton.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Chelsea

Bill Clinton is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clinton says "Epstein" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Clinton does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Epstein" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Jeffrey Epstein.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Epstein

Bill Clinton is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clinton says "Oval Office" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Clinton does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Oval Office

Bill Clinton is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clinton says "Camp David" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Clinton does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Camp David

Bill Clinton is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clinton says "peace" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Clinton does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "peace" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the absence of conflict or war. 

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Peace

Bill Clinton is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clinton says "democracy" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Clinton does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "democracy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a system of government by the whole population or all the eligible members of a state, typically through elected representatives.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Democracy

Bill Clinton is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clinton says "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Clinton does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Palestine" or "Palestinian" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the territory in the Middle east or its associated people.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Palestine/Palestinian

Bill Clinton is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clinton says "antisemitism" or "antisemitic" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Clinton does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "antisemitism" or "antisemitic" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to hostility or prejudice against Jewish people.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Antisemitism

Bill Clinton is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clinton says "ceasefire" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Clinton does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "ceasefire" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a temporary suspension of armed conflict.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Ceasefire

What will Bill Clinton say during DNC speech?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

佩奇·弗拉納根會成為明尼蘇達州參議院的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

加文·紐森會贏得2028年民主黨總統提名嗎？

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Governor Tim Walz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

提姆·沃爾茲會在2026年12月31日前被指控嗎？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

艾米·克羅布查爾會贏得2026年明尼蘇達州州長民主黨初選嗎？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

比爾·克林頓會在6月30日前離婚嗎？

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

麥特·克萊因會成為明尼蘇達第二区的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

伊爾汗·奧瑪會成為明尼蘇達第五選區的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

民主黨會在2026年贏得明尼蘇達州州長選舉嗎？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Bill or Hillary Clinton, or both, provide live or recorded testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

比爾或希拉蕊·克林頓會在1月31日前到國會作證嗎？

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Biden" during the State of the Union address?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

提姆·沃爾茲會在2026年12月31日前辭職嗎？

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Clinton serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

比爾·克林頓會在1月31日前入獄嗎？

Donald Trump is set to deliver remarks in Iowa on on January 27, 2026 (see: https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/21/donald-trump-iowa-for-speech-economy/88280760007/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on January 27, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about the speech in Iowa (https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/21/donald-trump-iowa-for-speech-economy/88280760007/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech?

Will Trump say "Minnesota" during the State of the Union address?

This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election.

If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.

Bernie會在2026年11月2日東部時間之前支持Dan Osborn競選內布拉斯加參議員嗎？

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Hillary Clinton between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Janeese Lewis George 會贏得2026年民主黨華盛頓哥倫比亞特區市長初選嗎？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

民主黨會在2026年贏得明尼蘇達州參議院選舉嗎？

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Stefany Shaheen會成為NH-01的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Tim Walz會在12月31日前入獄嗎？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Ohio.

If no 2026 Ohio Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

謝羅德·布朗會成為俄亥俄州參議院的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

約翰·卡瓦諾會成為內布拉斯加州第二選區的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Colorado.

If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

John Hickenlooper會成為科羅拉多州參議院的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

川普會在2026年11月2日東部時間支持Steve Hilton參選加州州長嗎？

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Junaid Ahmed 會成為伊利諾伊第八選區的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

民主黨會贏得明尼蘇達州第二区眾議院席位嗎？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

馬洛里·麥克莫羅會贏得2026年密西根州民主黨初選嗎？

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

丹尼爾·畢斯會成為伊利諾伊第九選區的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.

If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

喬什·圖雷克會成為愛荷華州參議院的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Wesley Bell會成為密蘇里第1選區的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Sidney Moore會成為伊利諾伊州第二選區的民主黨候選人嗎？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois.

If no 2026 Illinois Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Illinois Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

拉賈·克里希納穆爾蒂會成為伊利諾伊州參議員的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Delaware.

If no 2026 Delaware Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Delaware Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

克里斯·庫恩斯會成為德拉瓦州聯邦參議院的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Micah Lasher會成為紐約第12選區的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the Canadian New Democratic Party Leadership election scheduled for March 29, 2026.

The primary resolution source will be official New Democratic Party announcements; if unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

If no official winner has been declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Avi Lewis 會贏得加拿大新民主黨黨魁選舉嗎？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

共和黨會在2026年贏得內布拉斯加州州長選舉嗎？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.

If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Reilly Neill 會成為蒙大拿州參議院的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

大衛·漢恩會成為明尼蘇達州共和黨參議員候選人嗎？

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

賈瑞德·莫斯科維茨會成為佛羅里達第23選區的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

布拉德·蘭德會成為紐約第10選區的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Nate Blouin會成為猶他州第一選區的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

孟昭文會成為紐約第六選區的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

共和黨會在2026年贏得內布拉斯加州參議院選舉嗎？

An interview of Donald Trump by Joe Kernen is scheduled to air on January 21, 2026. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/CNBC/status/2012167755407999076

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this interview is definitively cancelled by Donald Trump or CNBC, or otherwise is not released by January 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the interview has not aired in its entirety by January 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point.

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York.

If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

凱西·霍楚會贏得2026年紐約州民主黨州長初選嗎？

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Adriano Espaillat會成為紐約第13選區的民主黨提名人嗎？

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

What will Bill Clinton say during DNC speech?

Hillary
$6,133 交易量
Yes

Ceasefire
$2,770 交易量
Yes

Democracy
$8,101 交易量
No

Peace
$1,510 交易量
Yes

Oval Office
$3,549 交易量
No

Camp David
$54 交易量
No

Obama
$2,470 交易量
Yes

Monica Lewinsky
$17,619 交易量
No

Chelsea
$2,575 交易量
No

Donald Trump
$2,752 交易量
Yes

Israel
$2,417 交易量
No

Palestine/Palestinian
$2,298 交易量
No

Epstein
$5,306 交易量
No

Antisemitism
$562 交易量
No

市場背景

What will Bill Clinton say during DNC speech?

規則

What will Bill Clinton say during DNC speech?

市場背景

What will Bill Clinton say during DNC speech?

關於

What will Bill Clinton say during DNC speech?

Hillary$6,133 交易量Yes

Ceasefire$2,770 交易量Yes

Democracy$8,101 交易量No

Peace$1,510 交易量Yes

Oval Office$3,549 交易量No

Camp David$54 交易量No

Obama$2,470 交易量Yes

Monica Lewinsky$17,619 交易量No

Chelsea$2,575 交易量No

Donald Trump$2,752 交易量Yes

Israel$2,417 交易量No

Palestine/Palestinian$2,298 交易量No

Epstein$5,306 交易量No

Antisemitism$562 交易量No

市場背景

What will Bill Clinton say during DNC speech?

規則

What will Bill Clinton say during DNC speech?

市場背景

What will Bill Clinton say during DNC speech?

關於

Hillary
$6,133 交易量
Yes

Ceasefire
$2,770 交易量
Yes

Democracy
$8,101 交易量
No

Peace
$1,510 交易量
Yes

Oval Office
$3,549 交易量
No

Camp David
$54 交易量
No

Obama
$2,470 交易量
Yes

Monica Lewinsky
$17,619 交易量
No

Chelsea
$2,575 交易量
No

Donald Trump
$2,752 交易量
Yes

Israel
$2,417 交易量
No

Palestine/Palestinian
$2,298 交易量
No

Epstein
$5,306 交易量
No

Antisemitism
$562 交易量
No