Name: Popular Vote Winner 2024
Start: 2024-01-09T23:37:00Z
End: 2024-11-04T12:00:00Z

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This is a market on predicting the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 presidential election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Michelle Obama

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ron DeSantis is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Ron DeSantis

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Kamala Harris

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Donald Trump

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.


Joe Biden

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nikki Haley is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Nikki Haley

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vivek Ramaswamy is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Vivek Ramaswamy

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Gavin Newsom

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Christie is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Chris Christie

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Hillary Clinton

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Bernie Sanders

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Elizabeth Warren

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Kanye West

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Democratic Politician other than Joe Biden, Gavin Newsom, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, AOC, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Other Democrat Politician

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Republican Politician other than Donald J. Trump, Nikki Haley, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Chris Christie is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Popular Vote Winner 2024

Michelle Obama
$36,970,806 交易量
No

Ron DeSantis
$39,315,353 交易量
No

Kamala Harris
$163,779,787 交易量
No

Donald Trump
$119,932,621 交易量
Yes

Joe Biden
$12,582,925 交易量
No

Nikki Haley
$21,923,974 交易量
No

Vivek Ramaswamy
$5,699,934 交易量
No

Gavin Newsom
$8,544,096 交易量
No

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$47,770,371 交易量
No

Chris Christie
$5,734,813 交易量
No

Hillary Clinton
$70,237,133 交易量
No

Bernie Sanders
$6,000,188 交易量
No

AOC
$6,367,581 交易量
No

Elizabeth Warren
$5,356,970 交易量
No

Kanye West
$6,217,812 交易量
No

Other Democrat Politician
$36,496,307 交易量
No

Other Republican Politician
$35,232,789 交易量
No

市場背景